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AAPL Apple Inc.

technology · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-15

SELL
Intrinsic value$105.15
Price (at call)$333.08
Margin of safety -68.4%
vs market (rating basis) -28.6%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)3.0%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin27.6%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital2.71
Beta1.08
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)9.8%
Terminal WACC9.4%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF784.61B
PV of terminal value799.79B
Equity value1.53T
÷ shares → per share$105.15

News

bullish +0.30 · 8 articles

  • Gene Munster Says iPhone 18 Pre-Order Wait Times Are Climbing, Calls It a 'Favorable Sign for Demand'
  • Amazon Could Buy Up to $60 Billion From Qualcomm Just as Apple Brings Modems In-House. Is the AI Pivot Real?
  • PayPal takes No. 1 in tech power ranking
  • Maryland Seeks To Reinstate Digital Ad Tax
  • OpenAI Left Exposed After Apple's Surprise Legal Break
  • Apple's Siri Upgrade Does Not Require Every User to Buy Another iPhone
  • Apple Duo Foldable iPhone a ‘Must Have Product,’ Gary Black Says ‘Don’t Underestimate the Power of the $AAPL Marketing Machine’
  • X Corp and SpaceXAI drop antitrust lawsuit against Apple

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 480.83B 3.0% 32.1% 130.07B 5.17B 124.90B 113.79B
2 495.52B 3.1% 30.9% 129.37B 5.43B 123.95B 102.87B
3 510.94B 3.1% 29.8% 128.58B 5.69B 122.89B 92.92B
4 527.12B 3.2% 28.7% 127.68B 5.97B 121.71B 83.84B
5 544.10B 3.2% 27.6% 126.67B 6.27B 120.40B 75.55B
6 561.93B 3.3% 27.6% 130.82B 6.59B 124.23B 71.02B
7 580.67B 3.3% 27.6% 135.18B 6.92B 128.26B 66.80B
8 600.34B 3.4% 27.6% 139.76B 7.27B 132.49B 62.87B
9 621.02B 3.4% 27.6% 144.58B 7.64B 136.94B 59.19B
10 642.76B 3.5% 27.6% 149.64B 8.03B 141.61B 55.76B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-15$333.08 $105.15 -68.4% SELL
2026-08-05$309.38 $140.27 -54.7% HOLD
2026-06-24$294.30 $143.87 -51.1% HOLD
2026-06-23$294.30 $132.76 -54.9% HOLD