ADM Archer Daniels Midland
Intrinsic value$30.92
Price (at call)$86.44
Margin of safety
-64.2%
vs market (rating basis)
-32.6%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | -7.5% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 3.3% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 2.64 |
| Beta | 0.61 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 7.4% |
| Terminal WACC | 8.9% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 12.01B |
| PV of terminal value | 10.58B |
| Equity value | 14.90B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $30.92 |
News
neutral +0.15 · 8 articles
- Can Ethanol Momentum Fuel Archer Daniels' Carbohydrate Growth?
- Is Archer-Daniels-Midland Stock Outperforming the Nasdaq?
- ADM Rallies 51% YTD: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell the Stock?
- Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know
- Buy 5 Top-Ranked Undervalued Stocks to Enhance Your Portfolio Returns
- Archer Daniels Targets $500M-$750M in Savings: Can It Deliver?
- Are Consumer Staples Stocks Lagging Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) This Year?
- REX’s Record 2Q EPS, CCS Project Advances – Quarterly Update Report
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75.91B | -7.5% | 3.3% | 2.12B | 0 | 2.12B | 1.98B |
| 2 | 71.11B | -6.3% | 3.3% | 1.99B | 0 | 1.99B | 1.72B |
| 3 | 67.50B | -5.1% | 3.3% | 1.89B | 0 | 1.89B | 1.52B |
| 4 | 64.89B | -3.9% | 3.3% | 1.82B | 0 | 1.82B | 1.36B |
| 5 | 63.18B | -2.6% | 3.3% | 1.77B | 0 | 1.77B | 1.24B |
| 6 | 62.29B | -1.4% | 3.3% | 1.74B | 0 | 1.74B | 1.13B |
| 7 | 62.18B | -0.2% | 3.3% | 1.74B | 0 | 1.74B | 1.05B |
| 8 | 62.83B | 1.0% | 3.3% | 1.76B | 246.80M | 1.51B | 851.38M |
| 9 | 64.26B | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.80B | 541.78M | 1.26B | 658.74M |
| 10 | 66.51B | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.86B | 853.14M | 1.01B | 491.90M |