AES AES Corporation
Intrinsic value$8.72
Price (at call)$14.83
Margin of safety
-41.2%
vs market (rating basis)
-6.9%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Return on equity (normalized) | 15.0% |
| Book-value growth (Y1) | 0.0% |
| Terminal book growth | 3.0% |
| Beta | 0.95 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of equity | 9.2% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of excess returns | 1.22B |
| PV of terminal excess | 936.81M |
| Equity value | 6.22B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $8.72 |
News
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- The AES Corp's Dividend Analysis
- Can NextEra's Battery Storage Boost the Clean Energy Transition?
Projected excess returns on equity
| Yr | Book equity | ROE | Excess return | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4.06B | 15.0% | 234.11M | 214.31M |
| 2 | 4.06B | 14.7% | 221.64M | 185.74M |
| 3 | 4.08B | 14.4% | 209.87M | 161.00M |
| 4 | 4.10B | 14.1% | 198.67M | 139.52M |
| 5 | 4.14B | 13.8% | 187.94M | 120.82M |
| 6 | 4.20B | 13.5% | 177.56M | 104.50M |
| 7 | 4.27B | 13.2% | 167.41M | 90.19M |
| 8 | 4.36B | 12.9% | 157.40M | 77.63M |
| 9 | 4.46B | 12.5% | 147.39M | 66.54M |
| 10 | 4.58B | 12.2% | 137.28M | 56.74M |