▟ Vinebot intrinsic value, daily

← back

AKAM Akamai Technologies

technology · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-16

STRONG SELL
Intrinsic value$3.28
Price (at call)$105.40
Margin of safety -96.9%
vs market (rating basis) -67.9%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)5.2%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin12.3%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.50
Beta0.64
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)7.7%
Terminal WACC9.0%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF311.90M
PV of terminal value3.33B
Equity value470.91M
÷ shares → per share$3.28

News

neutral -0.10 · 8 articles

  • What Are You Actually Buying In Cloudflare Stock?
  • Akamai Technologies (AKAM) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights
  • Jim Cramer says one 28-year-old tech giant is a terrific buy
  • Jim Cramer Called This Stock “Terrific” and Said “No Thank You” to APLD Stock. Here’s Why
  • Jim Cramer Calls Akamai (AKAM) “Terrific” and Cloudflare (NET) One of His Favorites
  • Looking Beyond the Cloud Giants? Analysts Say Buy These 2 Overlooked Stocks
  • Akamai Technologies (AKAM) After The Deloitte Canada Alliance Is The Bull Case Already Priced In
  • Akamai (AKAM) Stock Looks Fully Priced Despite Strong 38% Returns

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 4.55B 5.2% 12.3% 420.52M 447.76M -27.24M -25.28M
2 4.77B 5.0% 12.3% 441.51M 453.98M -12.47M -10.74M
3 5.00B 4.8% 12.3% 462.73M 458.84M 3.90M 3.12M
4 5.23B 4.6% 12.3% 484.11M 462.22M 21.89M 16.25M
5 5.47B 4.4% 12.3% 505.57M 464.04M 41.52M 28.62M
6 5.70B 4.2% 12.3% 527.03M 464.22M 62.82M 40.20M
7 5.93B 4.1% 12.3% 548.43M 462.67M 85.76M 50.94M
8 6.16B 3.9% 12.3% 569.67M 459.33M 110.34M 60.84M
9 6.39B 3.7% 12.3% 590.67M 454.14M 136.54M 69.89M
10 6.61B 3.5% 12.3% 611.35M 447.05M 164.30M 78.07M

⚠ Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-16$105.40 $3.28 -96.9% STRONG SELL
2026-08-06$122.27 $14.40 -88.2% STRONG SELL
2026-06-25$119.48 $14.65 -87.7% STRONG SELL
2026-06-23$119.87 $20.78 -82.7% STRONG SELL