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ALL Allstate

insurance · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-04

HOLD
Intrinsic value$214.40
Price (at call)$263.11
Margin of safety -18.5%
vs market (rating basis) +4.5%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Return on equity (normalized)15.0%
Book-value growth (Y1)8.0%
Terminal book growth3.0%
Beta0.50
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of equity7.0%

Valuation bridge

PV of excess returns13.25B
PV of terminal excess12.36B
Equity value54.21B
÷ shares → per share$214.40

News

bearish -0.20 · 8 articles

  • Affirmed Financial Strength And Earnings Outlook Might Change The Case For Investing In Allstate (ALL)
  • 3 P&C Insurers to Add for Better Returns in Sluggish September
  • ALL or TKOMY: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
  • Is Affiliated Managers Group (AMG) Stock Outpacing Its Finance Peers This Year?
  • Should Value Investors Buy Allstate (ALL) Stock?
  • Buy 5 Stocks to Stay Safe in Wall Street's Historically Worst Month
  • This Stock Strategy Printed Money — Until It Just Stopped Working
  • Known For Humorous Spots, Insurers Are Low-Rated By 'CR'

Projected excess returns on equity

YrBook equityROEExcess returnPV
128.61B 15.0%2.29B 2.14B
230.90B 14.3%2.26B 1.98B
333.20B 13.7%2.21B 1.80B
435.48B 13.0%2.13B 1.62B
537.73B 12.3%2.01B 1.43B
639.91B 11.7%1.86B 1.24B
742.00B 11.0%1.68B 1.04B
843.96B 10.3%1.46B 851.32M
945.76B 9.7%1.22B 662.79M
1047.39B 9.0%947.81M 481.28M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-04$263.11 $214.40 -18.5% HOLD
2026-08-04$262.68 $172.98 -34.1% HOLD
2026-07-01$237.94 $174.81 -26.5% HOLD
2026-06-23$231.64 $179.47 -22.5% HOLD