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ANET Arista Networks

technology · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-17

SELL
Intrinsic value$55.64
Price (at call)$197.54
Margin of safety -71.8%
vs market (rating basis) -22.8%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)27.1%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin32.6%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.85
Beta1.62
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)12.3%
Terminal WACC9.5%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF19.81B
PV of terminal value48.39B
Equity value70.17B
÷ shares → per share$55.64

News

bullish +0.60 · 8 articles

  • Dow Jones Futures Rise After Hawkish Fed, Warsh Hit Stocks, Trump Fumes; AMD, Bloom Energy Eye Buy Points
  • Is Ciena's Pricing Power Real, Or Just A Parts Shortage?
  • Arista Stock Holds Up Well Amid Weakness. Here's How To Capitalize.
  • Ciena Climbs 4% as $10B Backlog Outlook Outweighs Month-Long Slide; Arista and Cisco Edge Higher
  • Arista Networks highlighted as Zacks Bull and Yum! Brands Bear of the Day
  • These 7 Stocks Are Analyst Favorites For Magnificent Earnings Growth; Cloudflare Hits Buy Point
  • Bull of the Day: Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET)
  • Can Arista's Third Guidance Raise Still Make You Money?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 13.40B 27.1% 41.0% 4.54B 3.36B 1.18B 1.06B
2 16.69B 24.5% 38.9% 5.37B 3.86B 1.51B 1.20B
3 20.34B 21.9% 36.8% 6.18B 4.29B 1.90B 1.34B
4 24.26B 19.3% 34.7% 6.95B 4.60B 2.35B 1.48B
5 28.30B 16.6% 32.6% 7.61B 4.74B 2.88B 1.61B
6 32.26B 14.0% 32.6% 8.68B 4.65B 4.03B 2.01B
7 35.93B 11.4% 32.6% 9.67B 4.31B 5.36B 2.38B
8 39.08B 8.8% 32.6% 10.52B 3.69B 6.82B 2.70B
9 41.47B 6.1% 32.6% 11.16B 2.81B 8.35B 2.94B
10 42.92B 3.5% 32.6% 11.55B 1.70B 9.85B 3.09B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-17$197.54 $55.64 -71.8% SELL
2026-08-07$192.32 $52.91 -72.5% SELL
2026-06-26$165.45 $71.46 -56.8% HOLD
2026-06-23$162.32 $60.75 -62.6% SELL