ATO Atmos Energy
Intrinsic value$36.42
Price (at call)$167.68
Margin of safety
-78.3%
vs market (rating basis)
-46.6%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | 3.8% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 25.3% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 0.50 |
| Beta | 0.60 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 7.3% |
| Terminal WACC | 8.7% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 6.48B |
| PV of terminal value | 8.47B |
| Equity value | 6.15B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $36.42 |
News
bearish -0.20 · 8 articles
- Can SR's Strategic Investments Support Sustainable Long-Term Growth?
- Why Atmos Energy (ATO) Lost Its Investment Appeal
- ONE Gas (OGS) On Rising Gas Demand And Infrastructure Spending With Valuation In Focus
- Atmos (ATO) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
- Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Atmos Energy Stock Will Climb or Sink?
- Improved Infrastructure-Driven Earnings Outlook Might Change The Case For Investing In ONE Gas (OGS)
- 3 Gas Utility Stocks Poised to Gain Despite Industry Challenges
- Volatility Returns Amid Ongoing Geopolitical Tension: 3 Utility Picks
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5.11B | 3.8% | 35.9% | 1.49B | 376.70M | 1.11B | 1.03B |
| 2 | 5.30B | 3.8% | 33.2% | 1.43B | 387.40M | 1.04B | 904.00M |
| 3 | 5.50B | 3.8% | 30.6% | 1.36B | 398.23M | 966.01M | 781.09M |
| 4 | 5.71B | 3.7% | 27.9% | 1.29B | 409.18M | 882.99M | 665.15M |
| 5 | 5.92B | 3.7% | 25.3% | 1.21B | 420.25M | 792.19M | 555.95M |
| 6 | 6.13B | 3.6% | 25.3% | 1.26B | 431.42M | 825.22M | 539.53M |
| 7 | 6.35B | 3.6% | 25.3% | 1.30B | 442.69M | 859.30M | 523.40M |
| 8 | 6.58B | 3.6% | 25.3% | 1.35B | 454.05M | 894.46M | 507.56M |
| 9 | 6.81B | 3.5% | 25.3% | 1.40B | 465.49M | 930.71M | 492.02M |
| 10 | 7.05B | 3.5% | 25.3% | 1.45B | 477.00M | 968.07M | 476.78M |