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AVGO Broadcom

semiconductor · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-22

BUY
Intrinsic value$168.62
Price (at call)$362.66
Margin of safety -53.5%
vs market (rating basis) +11.9%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)24.4%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin39.5%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.61
Beta1.46
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)11.3%
Terminal WACC9.4%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF259.55B
PV of terminal value594.38B
Equity value804.94B
÷ shares → per share$168.62

News

neutral +0.10 · 8 articles

  • History Says a $1,000 Investment in Broadcom Will Be Worth This Much by 2028
  • 3 Stocks That Pay Dividends and Offer AI Exposure
  • NVIDIA Or Micron: Which Gets Paid More Safely For The AI Shortage?
  • Prediction: This Data Center Stock Will Be the AI Supercycle's Biggest Winner -- and It's Not a Household Name
  • AMD Storms Into $1 Trillion Club as Chip Stocks Charge Higher
  • AMD Hits $1 Trillion Market Cap: 3 Reasons Nvidia Sat Out the AI Rally
  • Broadcom Edges Higher as AI Chips Target $21.7 Billion
  • Broadcom vs. Intel: Which Semiconductor Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 110.83B 24.4% 47.0% 52.11B 35.70B 16.42B 14.75B
2 135.27B 22.1% 45.1% 61.05B 40.17B 20.88B 16.84B
3 161.97B 19.7% 43.2% 70.04B 43.88B 26.16B 18.95B
4 190.19B 17.4% 41.3% 78.64B 46.37B 32.28B 21.01B
5 218.90B 15.1% 39.5% 86.37B 47.19B 39.18B 22.90B
6 246.88B 12.8% 39.5% 97.41B 45.97B 51.44B 27.01B
7 272.70B 10.5% 39.5% 107.60B 42.43B 65.17B 30.73B
8 294.90B 8.1% 39.5% 116.36B 36.48B 79.88B 33.83B
9 312.06B 5.8% 39.5% 123.13B 28.20B 94.93B 36.11B
10 322.98B 3.5% 39.5% 127.44B 17.95B 109.49B 37.41B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-22$362.66 $168.62 -53.5% BUY
2026-08-25$358.76 $162.77 -54.6% HOLD
2026-07-28$383.22 $144.19 -62.4% HOLD
2026-06-29$365.02 $175.70 -51.9% HOLD
2026-06-23$380.15 $163.37 -57.0% HOLD