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BLK BlackRock

capital_markets · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-15

SELL
Intrinsic value$380.26
Price (at call)$1,065.60
Margin of safety -64.3%
vs market (rating basis) -25.2%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Return on equity (normalized)11.8%
Book-value growth (Y1)8.0%
Terminal book growth3.0%
Beta1.43
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of equity11.4%

Valuation bridge

PV of excess returns1.55B
PV of terminal excess1.45B
Equity value58.89B
÷ shares → per share$380.26

News

bearish -0.20 · 8 articles

  • U.S., EM Equities Appeal Even as Global Rates March Higher
  • ETF League Tables: VanEck Sees Outflows
  • BlackRock (BLK) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors
  • Carney, locked in US trade war, pitches Canada to global investment titans
  • Anthropic Targets Financial Advisors With New Claude Tool, Includes BlackRock, Charles Schwab Integrations
  • Anthropic Launches Claude for Financial Advisors
  • Bond Rout Could Provide Opportunity for Investors
  • Are You Looking for a High-Growth Dividend Stock?

Projected excess returns on equity

YrBook equityROEExcess returnPV
155.89B 11.8%209.52M 188.09M
260.36B 11.8%226.28M 182.37M
364.85B 11.8%243.13M 175.90M
469.32B 11.8%259.87M 168.79M
573.71B 11.8%276.33M 161.13M
677.97B 11.8%292.30M 153.01M
782.04B 11.8%307.56M 144.53M
885.87B 11.8%321.92M 135.81M
989.40B 11.8%335.15M 126.93M
1092.58B 11.8%347.07M 118.00M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-15$1,065.60 $380.26 -64.3% SELL
2026-08-20$1,158.92 $514.00 -55.6% SELL
2026-07-27$1,055.67 $511.41 -51.6% HOLD
2026-06-30$950.17 $524.24 -44.8% HOLD
2026-06-23$1,015.33 $530.14 -47.8% SELL