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BMY Bristol Myers Squibb

pharma · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-03

STRONG BUY
Intrinsic value$75.84
Price (at call)$67.66
Margin of safety +12.1%
vs market (rating basis) +61.5%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)3.0%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin27.7%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.77
Beta0.50
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)6.8%
Terminal WACC8.3%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF69.16B
PV of terminal value120.69B
Equity value154.91B
÷ shares → per share$75.84

News

neutral +0.15 · 8 articles

  • Revisiting Stock Picks Dexcom, Bristol Myers Squibb, Quanta Services
  • What Does Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) Trial Pause Mean For Its Pipeline?
  • Amgen Stock Signals Its Confidence. The Market Agrees.
  • Can CYTK's Aficamten Strengthen Its HCM Growth Prospects?
  • Can AI Save Pfizer Stock Before Its Patent Cliff Hits?
  • How Did Merck Stock Beat The Market With Slowing Sales?
  • Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) Gains On Camzyos Data, Is The Upside Already Priced In?
  • Autoimmune CAR-T faces tough questions after Novartis, Bristol Myers study halts

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 50.66B 3.0% 27.7% 10.63B 1.91B 8.72B 8.16B
2 52.21B 3.1% 27.7% 10.95B 2.00B 8.95B 7.85B
3 53.83B 3.1% 27.7% 11.29B 2.10B 9.19B 7.55B
4 55.54B 3.2% 27.7% 11.65B 2.20B 9.45B 7.26B
5 57.33B 3.2% 27.7% 12.03B 2.31B 9.71B 6.99B
6 59.21B 3.3% 27.7% 12.42B 2.43B 9.99B 6.73B
7 61.18B 3.3% 27.7% 12.83B 2.55B 10.28B 6.49B
8 63.26B 3.4% 27.7% 13.27B 2.68B 10.59B 6.26B
9 65.43B 3.4% 27.7% 13.73B 2.82B 10.91B 6.04B
10 67.72B 3.5% 27.7% 14.21B 2.96B 11.25B 5.83B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-03$67.66 $75.84 +12.1% STRONG BUY
2026-08-03$65.31 $47.49 -27.3% BUY
2026-06-30$58.56 $41.66 -28.9% HOLD
2026-06-23$55.53 $36.76 -33.8% HOLD