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BNY BNY Mellon

capital_markets · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-16

HOLD
Intrinsic value$86.34
Price (at call)$154.67
Margin of safety -44.2%
vs market (rating basis) -9.8%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

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The story

Value drivers

Return on equity (normalized)15.0%
Book-value growth (Y1)6.9%
Terminal book growth3.0%
Beta1.05
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of equity9.7%

Valuation bridge

PV of excess returns11.57B
PV of terminal excess7.53B
Equity value58.58B
÷ shares → per share$86.34

News

neutral +0.10 · 8 articles

  • USB vs. BNY: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?
  • Truist Financial Gains 15% in 6 Months: How to Play the Stock Now?
  • 2 Surging Stocks with Solid Fundamentals and 1 That Underwhelm
  • C Pushes Tokenized Deposits Deeper Into Asia With Japan Expansion
  • BNY Mellon Oversees $62 Trillion in Client Assets. Custody Is the Quietest Fee Machine in Finance.
  • The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (BNY): Here’s Why Gabelli Likes This Financial Stock
  • Will Truist's NII Growth Momentum Continue to Strengthen in 2026?
  • Q2 Earnings Highs And Lows: BNY (NYSE:BNY) Vs The Rest Of The Custody Bank Stocks

Projected excess returns on equity

YrBook equityROEExcess returnPV
139.48B 15.0%2.09B 1.90B
242.19B 14.6%2.08B 1.73B
344.91B 14.3%2.05B 1.55B
447.61B 13.9%2.00B 1.38B
550.27B 13.5%1.92B 1.21B
652.86B 13.2%1.83B 1.05B
755.35B 12.8%1.71B 895.73M
857.73B 12.4%1.58B 751.00M
959.96B 12.1%1.42B 615.83M
1062.02B 11.7%1.24B 490.90M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-16$154.67 $86.34 -44.2% HOLD
2026-08-21$157.24 $88.09 -44.0% HOLD
2026-07-28$157.77 $83.77 -46.9% HOLD
2026-07-01$144.61 $82.76 -42.8% HOLD
2026-06-23$147.29 $80.30 -45.5% SELL