BX Blackstone Inc.
Intrinsic value$15.07
Price (at call)$123.45
Margin of safety
-87.8%
vs market (rating basis)
-63.1%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: unbalanced JSON in response: '{\n "story": "Blackstone is the dominant alternatives franchise: $1T+ AUM produces a sticky management-fee annuity plus cyclical carry, and the trailing 40.6% ROE is a cycle peak, not a level. The bal'; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Return on equity (normalized) | 15.0% |
| Book-value growth (Y1) | 8.0% |
| Terminal book growth | 3.0% |
| Beta | 1.56 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of equity | 12.0% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of excess returns | 1.59B |
| PV of terminal excess | 1.05B |
| Equity value | 11.31B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $15.07 |
News
bullish +0.40 · 8 articles
- GOOGL, BX Stock In Focus — Banking Consortium Reportedly Lines Up $22B AI Chip Financing For Blackstone-Alphabet Venture
- 1 S&P 500 Stock Worth Your Attention and 2 We Turn Down
- Amid troubled PNM takeover, Blackstone proposes revised higher rate credit
- PNM, Blackstone double ratepayer credits in merger application
- Blackstone Sees Earnings Boom Fueling AI, Infrastructure and Fundraising Growth
- Blackstone Says Private Credit’s ‘Global Crisis’ Fears Are Overblown
- 2 Big Reasons to Love Blackstone (BX)
- Why Is Blackstone (BX) Exiting A Dating App While Eyeing Australia And India?
Projected excess returns on equity
| Yr | Book equity | ROE | Excess return | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8.67B | 15.0% | 258.49M | 230.76M |
| 2 | 9.36B | 14.9% | 268.95M | 214.34M |
| 3 | 10.06B | 14.8% | 277.99M | 197.78M |
| 4 | 10.75B | 14.7% | 285.40M | 181.27M |
| 5 | 11.43B | 14.6% | 290.99M | 164.99M |
| 6 | 12.09B | 14.5% | 294.60M | 149.12M |
| 7 | 12.72B | 14.3% | 296.09M | 133.79M |
| 8 | 13.31B | 14.2% | 295.37M | 119.15M |
| 9 | 13.86B | 14.1% | 292.37M | 105.29M |
| 10 | 14.35B | 14.0% | 287.09M | 92.29M |
⚠ Extreme gap to market price — large, well-covered names are rarely mispriced this much; likely embeds risk the model underweights. A flag, not a verdict.