CASY Casey's
Intrinsic value$314.61
Price (at call)$587.14
Margin of safety
-46.4%
vs market (rating basis)
+0.0%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | 5.2% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 5.9% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 2.93 |
| Beta | 0.59 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 7.4% |
| Terminal WACC | 9.0% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 4.94B |
| PV of terminal value | 8.59B |
| Equity value | 11.63B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $314.61 |
News
bearish -0.30 · 8 articles
- Bank of America makes bullish call on gas stock
- Jim Cramer Flags Casey’s (CASY) as a Warning Sign for Consumer Spending
- Why Did Casey's General Stores Stock Tank This Week?
- CASY Stock Heads For Worst Week In 17 Years: Why Analysts See Buying Opportunity In Casey's Despite Slashing Price Targets
- Casey’s General Stores (CASY) Grew EBITDA 17.1%. Can Fuel Sustain Growth?
- Plunging Retail and Travel Stocks Could Signal Trouble Ahead for the Economy
- Casey's General Stores Faces Peak Fuel Margin Concerns, UBS Says
- CASY Q1 Earnings Call Keeps Outlook Intact on Food, Fuel Strength
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.64B | 5.2% | 5.9% | 880.06M | 330.32M | 549.74M | 511.93M |
| 2 | 20.62B | 5.0% | 5.9% | 923.96M | 334.92M | 589.05M | 510.79M |
| 3 | 21.61B | 4.8% | 5.9% | 968.34M | 338.51M | 629.83M | 508.58M |
| 4 | 22.61B | 4.6% | 5.9% | 1.01B | 341.02M | 672.02M | 505.32M |
| 5 | 23.61B | 4.4% | 5.9% | 1.06B | 342.38M | 715.54M | 501.04M |
| 6 | 24.61B | 4.2% | 5.9% | 1.10B | 342.54M | 760.29M | 495.75M |
| 7 | 25.61B | 4.1% | 5.9% | 1.15B | 341.42M | 806.16M | 489.50M |
| 8 | 26.60B | 3.9% | 5.9% | 1.19B | 338.98M | 853.03M | 482.33M |
| 9 | 27.58B | 3.7% | 5.9% | 1.24B | 335.19M | 900.76M | 474.28M |
| 10 | 28.55B | 3.5% | 5.9% | 1.28B | 330.00M | 949.21M | 465.41M |