COP ConocoPhillips
Intrinsic value$59.75
Price (at call)$134.26
Margin of safety
-55.5%
vs market (rating basis)
-21.9%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | -8.0% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 18.5% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 0.73 |
| Beta | 0.50 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 6.8% |
| Terminal WACC | 8.6% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 44.80B |
| PV of terminal value | 44.14B |
| Equity value | 72.79B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $59.75 |
News
bullish +0.60 · 8 articles
- Chevron Stayed in Venezuela for 20 Years While Rivals Left. Here's Why Its CEO Says Patience Pays Off.
- Chevron CEO Says Patience Paid Off in Venezuela
- Why Did PFE, GTLB, COP Stocks Jump To 52-Week Highs Today?
- Chevron to Invest $7 Billion in Venezuela, Doubling Production
- Cramer Called the September Open Unholy and Then Named the One Stock He Would Still Buy
- 3 Reasons We Love ConocoPhillips (COP)
- Chevron unveils $7 billion Venezuela deal as US claims a fifth of the country's oil
- Energy ETFs to Watch as US-Venezuela Sign Historic Oil Deal
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58.28B | -8.0% | 23.6% | 8.96B | 0 | 8.96B | 8.39B |
| 2 | 54.36B | -6.7% | 22.4% | 7.90B | 0 | 7.90B | 6.93B |
| 3 | 51.40B | -5.4% | 21.1% | 7.04B | 0 | 7.04B | 5.78B |
| 4 | 49.26B | -4.2% | 19.8% | 6.33B | 0 | 6.33B | 4.87B |
| 5 | 47.84B | -2.9% | 18.5% | 5.74B | 0 | 5.74B | 4.14B |
| 6 | 47.06B | -1.6% | 18.5% | 5.65B | 0 | 5.65B | 3.81B |
| 7 | 46.91B | -0.3% | 18.5% | 5.63B | 0 | 5.63B | 3.56B |
| 8 | 47.35B | 0.9% | 18.5% | 5.69B | 609.37M | 5.08B | 3.00B |
| 9 | 48.40B | 2.2% | 18.5% | 5.81B | 1.45B | 4.36B | 2.42B |
| 10 | 50.10B | 3.5% | 18.5% | 6.02B | 2.33B | 3.68B | 1.91B |