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CVS CVS Health

healthcare · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-08-28

STRONG SELL
Intrinsic value$9.94
Price (at call)$92.92
Margin of safety -89.3%
vs market (rating basis) -49.0%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)7.6%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin2.1%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital2.97
Beta0.60
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)7.5%
Terminal WACC8.7%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF-2.38B
PV of terminal value71.39B
Equity value12.72B
÷ shares → per share$9.94

News

score · 8 articles

  • Can a $68 Billion Payout Save UNH Stock?
  • Mark Cuban Backs Plan to Break Up Big Medicine
  • How CVS' Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness Is Positioned for H2 2026
  • Which Turnaround Is Better for Retirees: CVS or INTC?
  • Should CVS Health’s (CVS) New Director and Youth Soccer Push Reshape Its Investment Story?
  • 2 Stocks That Could Capitalize on the GLP-1 Boom
  • 3 Reasons to Sell CVS and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
  • Danaher Rides on Strength in Biotechnology Segment: Will It Sustain?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 446.76B 7.6% 2.1% 7.74B 10.67B -2.93B -2.72B
2 478.80B 7.2% 2.1% 8.29B 10.79B -2.50B -2.16B
3 510.95B 6.7% 2.1% 8.85B 10.82B -1.97B -1.59B
4 542.90B 6.3% 2.1% 9.41B 10.76B -1.36B -1.01B
5 574.36B 5.8% 2.1% 9.95B 10.59B -644.44M -448.77M
6 605.01B 5.3% 2.1% 10.48B 10.32B 160.36M 103.88M
7 634.52B 4.9% 2.1% 10.99B 9.94B 1.06B 636.29M
8 662.55B 4.4% 2.1% 11.48B 9.44B 2.04B 1.14B
9 688.78B 4.0% 2.1% 11.93B 8.83B 3.10B 1.62B
10 712.89B 3.5% 2.1% 12.35B 8.12B 4.23B 2.05B

⚠ Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-08-28$92.92 $9.94 -89.3% STRONG SELL
2026-07-08$104.33 $27.72 -73.4% SELL
2026-06-23$101.57 $26.91 -73.5% SELL