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DDOG Datadog

software · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-14

STRONG SELL
Intrinsic value$0.00
Price (at call)$221.21
Margin of safety -100.0%
vs market (rating basis) -78.5%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)26.9%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin5.4%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.84
Beta1.49
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)11.6%
Terminal WACC9.4%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF-5.89B
PV of terminal value2.67B
Equity value0
÷ shares → per share$0.00

News

score · 8 articles

  • French AI boom exposes Europe’s funding gap as startups turn to U.S.
  • Datadog Conference: CEO Says AI and Enterprise Growth Are Accelerating
  • Datadog Eyes AI-Powered Predictive Monitoring as Enterprise Cloud Demand Grows
  • AI Agents Create Their Own Monitoring Problem. Datadog and Dynatrace Are Racing to Own It
  • Wedbush Names CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks AI Cybersecurity Winners
  • Fastly Jumps 7%: Is This an Oversold Bounce or the Start of a Run?
  • Palantir Stock Leads August Rally -- Nvidia, Salesforce and Super Micro Jump
  • Is Datadog (DDOG) Undervalued As Its Pullback Tests A Rich Valuation?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 5.04B 26.9% 5.4% 228.94M 1.27B -1.04B -933.60M
2 6.26B 24.3% 5.4% 284.67M 1.46B -1.17B -941.54M
3 7.62B 21.7% 5.4% 346.55M 1.62B -1.27B -914.85M
4 9.08B 19.1% 5.4% 412.86M 1.73B -1.32B -851.56M
5 10.58B 16.5% 5.4% 481.10M 1.78B -1.30B -752.76M
6 12.06B 13.9% 5.4% 548.07M 1.75B -1.20B -622.83M
7 13.42B 11.3% 5.4% 610.10M 1.62B -1.01B -469.22M
8 14.59B 8.7% 5.4% 663.24M 1.39B -726.46M -301.89M
9 15.48B 6.1% 5.4% 703.74M 1.06B -355.15M -132.24M
10 16.02B 3.5% 5.4% 728.37M 644.07M 84.30M 28.13M

⚠ intrinsic value floored at 0 — the drivers imply the equity claim is worth less than the debt ahead of it · Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-14$221.21 $0.00 -100.0% STRONG SELL
2026-08-11$260.78 $0.00 -100.0% STRONG SELL
2026-07-06$260.36 $34.38 -86.8% STRONG SELL
2026-06-23$220.57 $34.39 -84.4% STRONG SELL