DIS Walt Disney Company (The)
Intrinsic value$62.01
Price (at call)$106.99
Margin of safety
-42.0%
vs market (rating basis)
+37.5%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
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The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | 4.5% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 14.7% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 0.65 |
| Beta | 1.41 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 10.5% |
| Terminal WACC | 9.0% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 63.21B |
| PV of terminal value | 94.15B |
| Equity value | 107.07B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $62.01 |
News
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- Disney Trades Well Below Wall Street’s Target. Here’s What Closes the Gap.
- Walt Disney (DIS) Begins Multiyear Global Wildlife Series On Disney+ And Hulu
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 103.32B | 4.5% | 14.7% | 15.20B | 6.85B | 8.35B | 7.56B |
| 2 | 107.86B | 4.4% | 14.7% | 15.87B | 6.98B | 8.89B | 7.28B |
| 3 | 112.48B | 4.3% | 14.7% | 16.55B | 7.10B | 9.45B | 7.00B |
| 4 | 117.18B | 4.2% | 14.7% | 17.24B | 7.21B | 10.03B | 6.72B |
| 5 | 121.94B | 4.1% | 14.7% | 17.94B | 7.31B | 10.63B | 6.45B |
| 6 | 126.75B | 3.9% | 14.7% | 18.65B | 7.40B | 11.25B | 6.17B |
| 7 | 131.61B | 3.8% | 14.7% | 19.36B | 7.47B | 11.89B | 5.90B |
| 8 | 136.52B | 3.7% | 14.7% | 20.08B | 7.53B | 12.55B | 5.64B |
| 9 | 141.45B | 3.6% | 14.7% | 20.81B | 7.58B | 13.23B | 5.38B |
| 10 | 146.40B | 3.5% | 14.7% | 21.54B | 7.61B | 13.93B | 5.12B |