DOW Dow Inc.
Intrinsic value$0.00
Price (at call)$29.40
Margin of safety
-100.0%
vs market (rating basis)
-80.8%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | -8.0% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | -0.3% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 1.25 |
| Beta | 0.50 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 6.8% |
| Terminal WACC | 7.4% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | -1.47B |
| PV of terminal value | -576.61M |
| Equity value | 0 |
| ÷ shares → per share | $0.00 |
News
neutral -0.10 · 8 articles
- Top Midday Stories: Meta Launches Muse Personal AI Agent; Dow Said to Consider Exiting $20 Billion Chemicals JV With Saudi Aramco
- Dow explores potential exit from $20 billion Saudi Aramco chemicals venture, Bloomberg reports
- DOW's Shares Rally 30% YTD: What's Driving the Momentum?
- Dow Inc. (DOW) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider
- Is Dow’s High Payout Ratio And Perceived Undervaluation Recasting Its Cash Discipline Story (DOW)?
- Is Dow (DOW) Undervalued On Its New Dividend Or Is The Upside Priced In?
- Dow (DOW) Stock Looks Reasonable With 25% Upside To Fair Value
- Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Fall as Middle East Conflict Lifts Oil Prices
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38.01B | -8.0% | -0.3% | -93.03M | 0 | -93.03M | -87.08M |
| 2 | 35.46B | -6.7% | -0.3% | -86.78M | 0 | -86.78M | -76.03M |
| 3 | 33.53B | -5.4% | -0.3% | -82.05M | 0 | -82.05M | -67.29M |
| 4 | 32.13B | -4.2% | -0.3% | -78.63M | 0 | -78.63M | -60.36M |
| 5 | 31.20B | -2.9% | -0.3% | -76.36M | 0 | -76.36M | -54.86M |
| 6 | 30.70B | -1.6% | -0.3% | -75.13M | 0 | -75.13M | -50.52M |
| 7 | 30.60B | -0.3% | -0.3% | -74.88M | 0 | -74.88M | -47.13M |
| 8 | 30.89B | 0.9% | -0.3% | -75.59M | 231.09M | -306.68M | -180.68M |
| 9 | 31.57B | 2.2% | -0.3% | -77.27M | 548.89M | -626.16M | -345.29M |
| 10 | 32.68B | 3.5% | -0.3% | -79.97M | 883.71M | -963.68M | -497.41M |
⚠ intrinsic value floored at 0 — the drivers imply the equity claim is worth less than the debt ahead of it · Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.