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DVA DaVita

healthcare · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-01

STRONG BUY
Intrinsic value$263.41
Price (at call)$176.01
Margin of safety +49.7%
vs market (rating basis) +143.3%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)5.5%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin14.4%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital1.44
Beta0.87
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)7.7%
Terminal WACC8.0%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF9.85B
PV of terminal value19.79B
Equity value16.81B
÷ shares → per share$263.41

News

bullish +0.30 · 8 articles

  • There Was No Beating Moderna in August. These Are the Best and Worst S&P 500 Stocks for the Month.
  • Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights DaVita, LifeStance Health, Option Care Health, and Aveanna Healthcare
  • 4 Outpatient & Home Healthcare Stocks in Focus Amid Industry Tailwinds
  • How CVS' Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness Is Positioned for H2 2026
  • DVA & Humana Expand Value-Based Care for Kidney Disease Patients
  • Can Humana (HUM) Stay Cheap If Medicare Advantage Margins Tighten?
  • DaVita and Humana Expand Kidney Care Partnership to More Than 10,000 Patients
  • Berkshire Adds to Alphabet Stake, Buys Home Builders and Exits Constellation

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 14.60B 5.5% 14.4% 1.64B 531.76M 1.11B 1.03B
2 15.37B 5.3% 14.4% 1.73B 538.28M 1.19B 1.03B
3 16.15B 5.1% 14.4% 1.82B 542.75M 1.28B 1.02B
4 16.94B 4.9% 14.4% 1.91B 545.00M 1.36B 1.01B
5 17.72B 4.6% 14.4% 2.00B 544.91M 1.45B 1.00B
6 18.50B 4.4% 14.4% 2.08B 542.37M 1.54B 986.92M
7 19.27B 4.2% 14.4% 2.17B 537.27M 1.63B 970.99M
8 20.03B 4.0% 14.4% 2.26B 529.52M 1.73B 953.05M
9 20.78B 3.7% 14.4% 2.34B 519.06M 1.82B 933.22M
10 21.51B 3.5% 14.4% 2.42B 505.86M 1.92B 911.63M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-01$176.01 $263.41 +49.7% STRONG BUY
2026-07-10$229.48 $206.22 -10.1% STRONG BUY
2026-06-23$210.93 $183.22 -13.1% STRONG BUY