▟ Vinebot intrinsic value, daily

← back

DXCM Dexcom

healthcare · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-02

HOLD
Intrinsic value$34.07
Price (at call)$90.14
Margin of safety -62.2%
vs market (rating basis) -9.3%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)17.0%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin18.0%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital1.25
Beta1.41
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)10.9%
Terminal WACC9.1%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF4.10B
PV of terminal value9.08B
Equity value12.86B
÷ shares → per share$34.07

News

score · 8 articles

  • 3 Reasons DXCM Has Explosive Upside Potential
  • Here's How Much a $1000 Investment in DexCom Made 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today
  • Analysts' Top S&P 500 Stocks to Buy Now
  • The FDA Just Gave Abbott a Diabetes First. Is Its Beaten-Down Stock Ready to Wake Up?
  • Dexcom, Abbott await Medicare coverage expansion for CGMs
  • Abbott vs. DexCom: Which CGM Stock Is the Better Buy Now?
  • Can PODD Sustain Growth After Its 2026 Guidance Reset and Q2 Beat?
  • Oura is reportedly eyeing a September IPO that could value it at more than $16B

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 5.81B 17.0% 24.5% 1.09B 678.32M 414.27M 373.49M
2 6.72B 15.5% 22.8% 1.18B 723.67M 455.51M 370.24M
3 7.66B 14.0% 21.2% 1.25B 755.01M 494.88M 362.64M
4 8.62B 12.5% 19.6% 1.30B 768.55M 531.37M 351.05M
5 9.56B 11.0% 18.0% 1.32B 760.89M 564.09M 335.98M
6 10.47B 9.5% 18.0% 1.45B 729.43M 721.51M 387.44M
7 11.31B 8.0% 18.0% 1.57B 672.60M 894.48M 433.04M
8 12.05B 6.5% 18.0% 1.67B 590.17M 1.08B 470.86M
9 12.65B 5.0% 18.0% 1.75B 483.42M 1.27B 499.36M
10 13.09B 3.5% 18.0% 1.81B 355.21M 1.46B 517.45M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-02$90.14 $34.07 -62.2% HOLD
2026-07-13$74.96 $44.25 -41.0% BUY
2026-06-23$68.92 $47.60 -30.9% STRONG BUY