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ELV Elevance Health

healthcare · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-03

BUY
Intrinsic value$281.98
Price (at call)$405.84
Margin of safety -30.5%
vs market (rating basis) +29.1%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)8.3%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin3.6%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital2.65
Beta0.69
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)7.4%
Terminal WACC8.4%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF18.18B
PV of terminal value65.67B
Equity value61.15B
÷ shares → per share$281.98

News

neutral +0.15 · 8 articles

  • Centene Stock Roars Back 117% in a Year: Is CNC Still a Buy?
  • How Is Elevance Health’s Stock Performance Compared to Other Health Providers?
  • Can Centene's Marketplace Recovery Fuel Stronger Earnings Growth?
  • Elevance Health (ELV) Soars as Investors Gain Confidence in Profitability
  • Elevance Health (ELV): Bridging the Gap between Care and Coverage
  • UNH Stock Gets Cheaper Only If The Margins Come Back
  • Is CVS Stock Set for a Rebound?
  • Health Insurance Providers Stocks Q2 In Review: Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV) Vs Peers

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 217.88B 8.3% 3.6% 6.67B 6.33B 341.09M 317.55M
2 234.88B 7.8% 3.6% 7.19B 6.42B 775.89M 672.49M
3 251.94B 7.3% 3.6% 7.72B 6.44B 1.27B 1.03B
4 268.88B 6.7% 3.6% 8.23B 6.40B 1.84B 1.38B
5 285.52B 6.2% 3.6% 8.74B 6.28B 2.46B 1.72B
6 301.66B 5.7% 3.6% 9.24B 6.09B 3.15B 2.05B
7 317.08B 5.1% 3.6% 9.71B 5.82B 3.89B 2.36B
8 331.59B 4.6% 3.6% 10.15B 5.48B 4.68B 2.64B
9 344.97B 4.0% 3.6% 10.56B 5.05B 5.51B 2.89B
10 357.05B 3.5% 3.6% 10.93B 4.56B 6.38B 3.12B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-03$405.84 $281.98 -30.5% BUY
2026-07-14$425.17 $447.38 +5.2% STRONG BUY
2026-06-23$395.10 $529.67 +34.1% STRONG BUY