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FTNT Fortinet

software · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-16

HOLD
Intrinsic value$68.78
Price (at call)$172.37
Margin of safety -60.1%
vs market (rating basis) -13.8%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)15.5%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin35.1%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital3.37
Beta1.06
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)9.7%
Terminal WACC9.5%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF21.13B
PV of terminal value27.83B
Equity value50.47B
÷ shares → per share$68.78

News

bullish +0.30 · 8 articles

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  • Is CrowdStrike Stock Betting That Its Record Quarter Is The New Normal?
  • Fortinet (FTNT) Recently Broke Out Above the 20-Day Moving Average

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 8.69B 15.5% 35.1% 2.46B 345.39M 2.12B 1.93B
2 9.92B 14.1% 35.1% 2.81B 364.51M 2.45B 2.03B
3 11.19B 12.8% 35.1% 3.17B 376.90M 2.79B 2.11B
4 12.47B 11.5% 35.1% 3.53B 381.03M 3.15B 2.17B
5 13.74B 10.1% 35.1% 3.89B 375.55M 3.52B 2.21B
6 14.95B 8.8% 35.1% 4.24B 359.46M 3.88B 2.22B
7 16.07B 7.5% 35.1% 4.55B 332.19M 4.22B 2.20B
8 17.06B 6.2% 35.1% 4.83B 293.67M 4.54B 2.16B
9 17.88B 4.8% 35.1% 5.07B 244.47M 4.82B 2.09B
10 18.51B 3.5% 35.1% 5.24B 185.74M 5.06B 2.00B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-16$172.37 $68.78 -60.1% HOLD
2026-08-13$160.84 $72.31 -55.0% HOLD
2026-07-08$158.67 $61.45 -61.3% SELL
2026-06-23$148.00 $62.52 -57.8% SELL