HLT Hilton Worldwide
Intrinsic value$70.97
Price (at call)$332.56
Margin of safety
-78.7%
vs market (rating basis)
-38.8%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | 11.1% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 15.1% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 1.79 |
| Beta | 1.06 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 8.9% |
| Terminal WACC | 8.6% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 9.86B |
| PV of terminal value | 17.60B |
| Equity value | 15.97B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $70.97 |
News
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Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13.87B | 11.1% | 21.6% | 2.11B | 776.01M | 1.34B | 1.23B |
| 2 | 15.30B | 10.3% | 20.0% | 2.16B | 796.67M | 1.36B | 1.15B |
| 3 | 16.74B | 9.4% | 18.4% | 2.17B | 806.13M | 1.36B | 1.05B |
| 4 | 18.18B | 8.6% | 16.7% | 2.15B | 802.91M | 1.34B | 955.33M |
| 5 | 19.59B | 7.7% | 15.1% | 2.09B | 785.77M | 1.30B | 850.62M |
| 6 | 20.94B | 6.9% | 15.1% | 2.23B | 753.84M | 1.48B | 886.72M |
| 7 | 22.20B | 6.0% | 15.1% | 2.37B | 706.68M | 1.66B | 914.72M |
| 8 | 23.35B | 5.2% | 15.1% | 2.49B | 644.28M | 1.84B | 933.93M |
| 9 | 24.37B | 4.3% | 15.1% | 2.60B | 567.20M | 2.03B | 943.92M |
| 10 | 25.22B | 3.5% | 15.1% | 2.69B | 476.51M | 2.21B | 944.49M |