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IP International Paper

materials · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-16

STRONG SELL
Intrinsic value$0.00
Price (at call)$33.99
Margin of safety -100.0%
vs market (rating basis) -79.2%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)3.8%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin-10.0%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.98
Beta0.88
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)7.6%
Terminal WACC8.0%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF-23.07B
PV of terminal value-17.05B
Equity value0
÷ shares → per share$0.00

News

bullish +0.20 · 8 articles

  • Chewy downgraded, Shopify initiated: Wall Street's top analyst calls
  • 3 paper packaging CEOs talk market volatility, pricing
  • Here Are Friday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Atmos Energy, Celanese, Check Point Software, Chewy, Dell Technologies, Fortinet, Global Payments, HP, Shopify, and More
  • Judge denies motion to dismiss containerboard price-fixing lawsuit
  • Timber Was Gold in the South—Until a Market Collapse Crushed the Forest Economy
  • Used box businesses eye opportunity amid rising containerboard prices
  • International Paper (IP) Could Be 8% Undervalued On Its Margin Recovery Narrative
  • International Paper (IP) Stock Still Looks Like A Bargain On Price Hike Scrutiny

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 25.11B 3.8% -10.7% -2.13B 925.40M -3.05B -2.84B
2 26.05B 3.7% -10.5% -2.17B 952.94M -3.12B -2.70B
3 27.01B 3.7% -10.4% -2.21B 980.97M -3.19B -2.56B
4 28.00B 3.7% -10.2% -2.25B 1.01B -3.26B -2.43B
5 29.02B 3.6% -10.0% -2.29B 1.04B -3.33B -2.31B
6 30.07B 3.6% -10.0% -2.38B 1.07B -3.44B -2.22B
7 31.15B 3.6% -10.0% -2.46B 1.10B -3.56B -2.13B
8 32.25B 3.6% -10.0% -2.55B 1.13B -3.68B -2.04B
9 33.39B 3.5% -10.0% -2.64B 1.16B -3.80B -1.96B
10 34.56B 3.5% -10.0% -2.73B 1.19B -3.92B -1.88B

⚠ intrinsic value floored at 0 — the drivers imply the equity claim is worth less than the debt ahead of it · Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-16$33.99 $0.00 -100.0% STRONG SELL
2026-08-14$41.12 $0.00 -100.0% STRONG SELL
2026-07-10$37.18 $5.61 -84.9% STRONG SELL
2026-06-23$36.56 $15.85 -56.6% HOLD