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IR Ingersoll Rand

industrial · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-08-12

SELL
Intrinsic value$22.23
Price (at call)$85.02
Margin of safety -73.9%
vs market (rating basis) -29.5%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)8.9%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin18.5%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.53
Beta1.16
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)9.3%
Terminal WACC8.7%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF2.12B
PV of terminal value10.11B
Equity value8.63B
÷ shares → per share$22.23

News

neutral +0.10 · 8 articles

  • 3 Profitable Stocks with Questionable Fundamentals
  • Ingersoll Rand (IR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
  • Ingersoll Rand (IR) Buys Lone Star Blower To Grow Mission Critical Industrial Reach
  • Is Ingersoll Rand (IR) Fully Priced After Its Q2 2026 Results?
  • Here Are Monday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Best Buy, Circle Internet, Corning, Eaton Corporation, eBay, Ingersoll-Rand, NXP Semiconductors, Starbucks, and More
  • Ingersoll Rand Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
  • Ingersoll Rand Inc (IR) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Execution Drives Revenue ...
  • Ingersoll Rand Beats Q2 Earnings Estimates, Raises Revenue Guidance

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 8.65B 8.9% 18.5% 1.22B 1.33B -106.67M -97.61M
2 9.37B 8.3% 18.5% 1.33B 1.35B -25.52M -21.37M
3 10.10B 7.7% 18.5% 1.43B 1.36B 70.60M 54.09M
4 10.82B 7.1% 18.5% 1.53B 1.35B 181.93M 127.55M
5 11.53B 6.5% 18.5% 1.63B 1.32B 308.32M 197.79M
6 12.21B 5.9% 18.5% 1.73B 1.28B 449.25M 263.72M
7 12.86B 5.3% 18.5% 1.82B 1.22B 603.83M 324.34M
8 13.46B 4.7% 18.5% 1.91B 1.13B 770.70M 378.80M
9 14.02B 4.1% 18.5% 1.98B 1.04B 948.12M 426.42M
10 14.51B 3.5% 18.5% 2.05B 918.80M 1.13B 466.67M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-08-12$85.02 $22.23 -73.9% SELL
2026-06-23$76.64 $24.33 -68.3% SELL