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ISRG Intuitive Surgical

healthcare · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-14

SELL
Intrinsic value$90.07
Price (at call)$369.15
Margin of safety -75.6%
vs market (rating basis) -30.4%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)17.4%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin20.6%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.62
Beta1.47
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)11.6%
Terminal WACC9.5%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF5.25B
PV of terminal value23.77B
Equity value32.27B
÷ shares → per share$90.07

News

score · 8 articles

  • Robots Everywhere: Goldman Sachs Now Sees 6.5 Million Humanoid Robots by 2035
  • Intuitive Surgical Sees Procedure Growth Despite U.S. Slowdown and China Pressure
  • This AI ETF Is Missing the Biggest AI Winners
  • How Much Can ISRG Stock Still Move Against You?
  • Brokers Suggest Investing in Intuitive Surgical (ISRG): Read This Before Placing a Bet
  • ISRG Stock Trading at its Cheapest in 10 Years: Should You Buy Now?
  • Wall Street Isn't Talking About High-Yield Medtronic Stock -- Here's Why It Should Be
  • Here's Why Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) Fell More Than Broader Market

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 12.95B 17.4% 29.1% 3.28B 3.10B 180.89M 162.13M
2 15.01B 15.8% 27.0% 3.52B 3.31B 207.23M 166.48M
3 17.15B 14.3% 24.9% 3.71B 3.47B 242.69M 174.76M
4 19.34B 12.8% 22.8% 3.82B 3.53B 290.20M 187.30M
5 21.51B 11.2% 20.6% 3.86B 3.50B 352.68M 204.03M
6 23.59B 9.7% 20.6% 4.23B 3.36B 868.79M 450.49M
7 25.51B 8.1% 20.6% 4.57B 3.10B 1.48B 685.75M
8 27.19B 6.6% 20.6% 4.87B 2.71B 2.16B 900.04M
9 28.56B 5.0% 20.6% 5.12B 2.21B 2.91B 1.08B
10 29.56B 3.5% 20.6% 5.30B 1.61B 3.68B 1.23B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-14$369.15 $90.07 -75.6% SELL
2026-07-24$332.02 $141.92 -57.3% HOLD
2026-06-23$403.18 $139.14 -65.5% SELL