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J Jacobs Solutions

industrial · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-08-14

STRONG SELL
Intrinsic value$25.78
Price (at call)$143.91
Margin of safety -82.1%
vs market (rating basis) -50.0%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: unbalanced JSON in response: '{\n "story": "Jacobs Solutions is a mature engineering/services firm growing revenue at ~7% CAGR but with deteriorating operating margins—down to 4.7% TTM from an 8.2% peak. Life Sciences and AI initi'; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)7.1%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin4.7%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital2.42
Beta0.67
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)7.2%
Terminal WACC8.5%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF1.28B
PV of terminal value4.42B
Equity value3.04B
÷ shares → per share$25.78

News

neutral +0.10 · 8 articles

  • Jacobs Solutions' Life Sciences, AI Businesses to Drive Growth, RBC Says
  • 2 Cash-Producing Stocks on Our Buy List and 1 We Ignore
  • 5 Revealing Analyst Questions From Jacobs Solutions’s Q2 Earnings Call
  • Jacobs Solutions (J) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
  • Fluor's Profit Jump Was Borrowed From Its Own Second Half
  • Could Bigger EPC Jobs Push Argan Toward $2B Revenues Faster?
  • How Jacobs' AI Infrastructure Push Could Drive Its Next Growth Phase
  • Is Jacobs Stock a Buy as Strong Growth Meets Execution & Debt Risks?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 15.23B 7.1% 4.7% 467.67M 419.29M 48.39M 45.13M
2 16.26B 6.7% 4.7% 499.15M 423.77M 75.37M 65.57M
3 17.29B 6.3% 4.7% 530.73M 425.16M 105.57M 85.65M
4 18.31B 5.9% 4.7% 562.16M 423.21M 138.96M 105.15M
5 19.32B 5.5% 4.7% 593.19M 417.71M 175.48M 123.85M
6 20.31B 5.1% 4.7% 623.53M 408.51M 215.01M 141.53M
7 21.27B 4.7% 4.7% 652.90M 395.51M 257.39M 158.02M
8 22.18B 4.3% 4.7% 681.03M 378.65M 302.38M 173.14M
9 23.05B 3.9% 4.7% 707.61M 357.94M 349.67M 186.75M
10 23.86B 3.5% 4.7% 732.38M 333.45M 398.94M 198.71M

⚠ Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-08-14$143.91 $25.78 -82.1% STRONG SELL
2026-06-23$120.90 $47.94 -60.3% HOLD