JCI Johnson Controls
Intrinsic value$36.04
Price (at call)$153.92
Margin of safety
-76.6%
vs market (rating basis)
-31.7%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
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The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | 4.6% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 11.7% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 1.10 |
| Beta | 1.32 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 10.2% |
| Terminal WACC | 8.9% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 12.42B |
| PV of terminal value | 18.94B |
| Equity value | 21.83B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $36.04 |
News
neutral +0.10 · 8 articles
- 2 Reasons to Watch JCI and 1 to Stay Cautious
- Can Johnson Controls (JCI) Turn Wasted Heat Into $18B?
- Johnson Controls (JCI) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Is Johnson Controls Stock Still a Buy After an Insider Offloaded 23,400 Shares?
- Zacks.com featured highlights Celestica, Zurn Elkay, Lam, BE Semiconductor and Johnson Controls
- Buy These 5 Top-Ranked Efficient Stocks With Strong Growth Potential
- MOD Q1 Earnings Top Estimates on Data Center Growth, Sales Miss
- Johnson Controls (JCI) Stock Looks Fairly Valued Despite Its 147% Run
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26.14B | 4.6% | 11.7% | 2.68B | 1.04B | 1.64B | 1.49B |
| 2 | 27.30B | 4.4% | 11.7% | 2.80B | 1.06B | 1.74B | 1.43B |
| 3 | 28.48B | 4.3% | 11.7% | 2.92B | 1.08B | 1.84B | 1.38B |
| 4 | 29.68B | 4.2% | 11.7% | 3.04B | 1.09B | 1.95B | 1.32B |
| 5 | 30.90B | 4.1% | 11.7% | 3.17B | 1.11B | 2.06B | 1.27B |
| 6 | 32.12B | 4.0% | 11.7% | 3.29B | 1.12B | 2.17B | 1.21B |
| 7 | 33.36B | 3.9% | 11.7% | 3.42B | 1.13B | 2.29B | 1.16B |
| 8 | 34.61B | 3.7% | 11.7% | 3.55B | 1.14B | 2.41B | 1.11B |
| 9 | 35.86B | 3.6% | 11.7% | 3.68B | 1.14B | 2.53B | 1.06B |
| 10 | 37.12B | 3.5% | 11.7% | 3.81B | 1.15B | 2.66B | 1.01B |