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LEN Lennar

retail · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-08-28

BUY
Intrinsic value$54.92
Price (at call)$85.11
Margin of safety -35.5%
vs market (rating basis) +17.8%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)3.0%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin6.2%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital1.18
Beta1.40
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)9.6%
Terminal WACC8.2%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF4.81B
PV of terminal value10.72B
Equity value13.23B
÷ shares → per share$54.92

News

score · 8 articles

  • Toll Brothers Grew Its Earnings Per Share Without Growing Earnings
  • Berkshire bets on housing market recovery under CEO Greg Abel
  • Berkshire Boosts Its Bet: This AI Hyperscaler Is Now a Top-3 Holding
  • Lennar (LEN) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know
  • Hovnanian Hurt by Frozen Housing Market
  • Berkshire Rebalances Portfolio: Is It Embracing the Tech Era?
  • Lennar (LEN) Opens New Home Communities In Madison And Valencia
  • LSI (LYTS) Misses Q4 Earnings Estimates

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 33.72B 3.0% 6.2% 1.57B 835.03M 739.33M 674.87M
2 34.75B 3.1% 6.2% 1.62B 876.01M 746.46M 621.97M
3 35.83B 3.1% 6.2% 1.67B 919.19M 753.75M 573.29M
4 36.97B 3.2% 6.2% 1.73B 964.71M 761.21M 528.49M
5 38.16B 3.2% 6.2% 1.78B 1.01B 768.81M 487.23M
6 39.41B 3.3% 6.2% 1.84B 1.06B 776.55M 449.23M
7 40.72B 3.3% 6.2% 1.90B 1.12B 784.41M 414.21M
8 42.10B 3.4% 6.2% 1.97B 1.17B 792.38M 381.94M
9 43.55B 3.4% 6.2% 2.03B 1.23B 800.44M 352.19M
10 45.08B 3.5% 6.2% 2.10B 1.30B 808.57M 324.75M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-08-28$85.11 $54.92 -35.5% BUY
2026-07-16$85.29 $96.71 +13.4% STRONG BUY
2026-06-23$87.35 $103.77 +18.8% STRONG BUY