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LIN Linde plc

energy · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-18

SELL
Intrinsic value$117.60
Price (at call)$458.48
Margin of safety -74.3%
vs market (rating basis) -37.3%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)3.0%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin19.8%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.54
Beta0.73
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)7.9%
Terminal WACC9.0%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF30.90B
PV of terminal value46.76B
Equity value54.21B
÷ shares → per share$117.60

News

neutral +0.10 · 8 articles

  • ‘Unique Opportunity’: Analyst Says Industrial Giant Wins ‘Lion’s Share’ of AI Chip Contracts at a ‘Mundane Defensive Valuation’
  • Billionaire Daniel Sundheim’s 2 New Non-AI Stock Picks
  • The Bloom Energy Stock Signal Hiding Behind The Demand Story
  • Is Linde Stock Underperforming the Dow?
  • The Peer-Group Mispricing Sitting On BE Stock
  • How to Build $8,200 a Month in Dividend Income (And the Tax Bill Almost Nobody Plans For)
  • Is Linde (LIN) Set to Benefit From a Global Industrial Recovery?
  • How a 77-Year-Old Collects $9,700 a Month Without Selling a Single Share

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 36.51B 3.0% 26.1% 7.40B 1.96B 5.44B 5.05B
2 37.63B 3.1% 24.5% 7.17B 2.05B 5.11B 4.40B
3 38.80B 3.1% 23.0% 6.92B 2.15B 4.76B 3.80B
4 40.03B 3.2% 21.4% 6.65B 2.26B 4.39B 3.24B
5 41.32B 3.2% 19.8% 6.36B 2.37B 3.99B 2.73B
6 42.67B 3.3% 19.8% 6.57B 2.49B 4.08B 2.59B
7 44.09B 3.3% 19.8% 6.79B 2.62B 4.17B 2.46B
8 45.59B 3.4% 19.8% 7.02B 2.75B 4.27B 2.33B
9 47.16B 3.4% 19.8% 7.26B 2.89B 4.37B 2.21B
10 48.81B 3.5% 19.8% 7.52B 3.04B 4.48B 2.10B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-18$458.48 $117.60 -74.3% SELL
2026-08-17$482.74 $124.92 -74.1% SELL
2026-07-13$529.79 $195.70 -63.1% SELL
2026-06-23$512.26 $200.01 -61.0% SELL