LITE Lumentum
Intrinsic value$0.00
Price (at call)$956.14
Margin of safety
-100.0%
vs market (rating basis)
-77.3%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | 19.5% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 12.0% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 0.50 |
| Beta | 1.51 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 11.4% |
| Terminal WACC | 9.1% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | -3.12B |
| PV of terminal value | 2.68B |
| Equity value | 0 |
| ÷ shares → per share | $0.00 |
News
score · 8 articles
- Lumentum Sees AI Data Centers Driving Major Optical Connectivity Growth
- Amgen Stock Signals Its Confidence. The Market Agrees.
- Super Micro Stock And 2 AI Infrastructure Names Trading Below Fair Value
- AXT's Supply Agreements Expand: Can They Strengthen Revenue Growth?
- Marvell Jumps Ahead of Key Earnings as AI Stocks Rally After Nvidia's Results
- US Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Futures Slip As Traders Watch PCE And Fed
- Energy, Industrials, and Utilities Are Leading the Stock Market
- Lumentum Climbs 4% as the AI Optics Trade Extends a Second Session, Coherent and Applied Optoelectronics Drift
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.97B | 19.5% | 12.0% | 281.00M | 969.58M | -688.58M | -618.35M |
| 2 | 3.50B | 17.7% | 12.0% | 330.76M | 1.05B | -722.12M | -582.34M |
| 3 | 4.06B | 15.9% | 12.0% | 383.45M | 1.12B | -731.56M | -529.79M |
| 4 | 4.63B | 14.2% | 12.0% | 437.72M | 1.15B | -710.82M | -462.27M |
| 5 | 5.20B | 12.4% | 12.0% | 491.91M | 1.15B | -654.72M | -382.36M |
| 6 | 5.76B | 10.6% | 12.0% | 544.06M | 1.10B | -559.66M | -293.51M |
| 7 | 6.26B | 8.8% | 12.0% | 592.09M | 1.02B | -424.21M | -199.79M |
| 8 | 6.71B | 7.1% | 12.0% | 633.84M | 883.52M | -249.68M | -105.60M |
| 9 | 7.06B | 5.3% | 12.0% | 667.28M | 707.64M | -40.36M | -15.33M |
| 10 | 7.31B | 3.5% | 12.0% | 690.64M | 494.22M | 196.42M | 66.99M |
⚠ intrinsic value floored at 0 — the drivers imply the equity claim is worth less than the debt ahead of it · Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.