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MET MetLife

insurance · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-18

HOLD
Intrinsic value$66.43
Price (at call)$97.35
Margin of safety -31.8%
vs market (rating basis) -1.5%

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The story

Value drivers

Return on equity (normalized)12.8%
Book-value growth (Y1)3.9%
Terminal book growth3.0%
Beta0.76
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of equity8.4%

Valuation bridge

PV of excess returns7.15B
PV of terminal excess6.67B
Equity value42.21B
÷ shares → per share$66.43

News

bearish -0.20 · 8 articles

  • 3 Life Insurers to Watch as Annuity Sales Hit First-Half Record Highs
  • Can Lincoln National Turn Greater Capital Flexibility Into Growth?
  • Higher Rates Are a Gift to These 3 Insurance Dividend Stocks
  • 3 Reasons to Avoid MET and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
  • Executive Waves Goodbye to More Than 6,000 Shares of Legendary Insurance Stock
  • Is MetLife Outperforming the Nasdaq?
  • The Case for Holding MetLife Stock: What Investors Need to Know
  • Chariot Re raises $700m to expand reinsurance platform

Projected excess returns on equity

YrBook equityROEExcess returnPV
128.40B 12.8%1.25B 1.15B
229.51B 12.5%1.22B 1.04B
330.64B 12.2%1.19B 932.17M
431.78B 12.0%1.15B 830.59M
532.93B 11.7%1.10B 735.28M
634.08B 11.4%1.05B 646.10M
735.24B 11.2%987.54M 562.86M
836.41B 10.9%922.87M 485.41M
937.58B 10.6%851.99M 413.54M
1038.74B 10.4%774.85M 347.08M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-18$97.35 $66.43 -31.8% HOLD
2026-08-18$96.68 $62.10 -35.8% HOLD
2026-07-15$92.54 $61.72 -33.3% HOLD
2026-06-23$88.03 $62.34 -29.2% HOLD