MGM MGM Resorts
Intrinsic value$25.89
Price (at call)$41.44
Margin of safety
-37.5%
vs market (rating basis)
+44.0%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | 10.1% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 5.1% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 2.05 |
| Beta | 1.30 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 9.8% |
| Terminal WACC | 9.0% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 3.12B |
| PV of terminal value | 8.67B |
| Equity value | 6.62B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $25.89 |
News
bearish -0.30 · 8 articles
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- MGM (MGM) Down 5.9% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
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- This Casino Landlord’s Yield Should Be a Red Flag. Why Wall Street Sees 24% Upside.
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- 3 Cash-Producing Stocks That Concern Us
- 3 Stocks Came Roaring Back—Now They’re Flashing Warning Signs
- MGM Resorts (MGM) Stock Gets Fair Value Bump As Analysts Weigh Take Private Bid
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.56B | 10.1% | 5.1% | 996.75M | 877.80M | 118.95M | 108.34M |
| 2 | 21.40B | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.09B | 896.45M | 193.98M | 160.94M |
| 3 | 23.25B | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.18B | 903.77M | 281.11M | 212.43M |
| 4 | 25.10B | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.28B | 898.45M | 380.32M | 261.79M |
| 5 | 26.90B | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.37B | 879.41M | 491.26M | 308.00M |
| 6 | 28.64B | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.46B | 845.90M | 613.17M | 350.17M |
| 7 | 30.27B | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.54B | 797.51M | 744.91M | 387.48M |
| 8 | 31.78B | 5.0% | 5.1% | 1.62B | 734.24M | 884.91M | 419.27M |
| 9 | 33.12B | 4.2% | 5.1% | 1.69B | 656.52M | 1.03B | 445.04M |
| 10 | 34.28B | 3.5% | 5.1% | 1.75B | 565.25M | 1.18B | 464.47M |