MLM Martin Marietta Materials
Intrinsic value$65.15
Price (at call)$494.44
Margin of safety
-86.8%
vs market (rating basis)
-54.7%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | -0.1% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 16.5% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 0.50 |
| Beta | 1.10 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 9.4% |
| Terminal WACC | 9.0% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 4.99B |
| PV of terminal value | 4.90B |
| Equity value | 4.63B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $65.15 |
News
neutral +0.10 · 8 articles
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- Uber initiated, Thermo Fisher upgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
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- Chip, Drug Makers to Drive Non-Residential Construction Rebound, UBS Says
- Andvari Associates Strategic Investment in Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.68B | -0.1% | 20.0% | 1.08B | 0 | 1.08B | 987.06M |
| 2 | 6.71B | 0.3% | 19.1% | 1.04B | 44.91M | 990.67M | 827.24M |
| 3 | 6.76B | 0.7% | 18.2% | 994.59M | 98.11M | 896.48M | 684.06M |
| 4 | 6.83B | 1.1% | 17.3% | 956.68M | 152.27M | 804.42M | 560.90M |
| 5 | 6.94B | 1.5% | 16.5% | 921.38M | 208.02M | 713.36M | 454.54M |
| 6 | 7.07B | 1.9% | 16.5% | 939.05M | 266.05M | 673.01M | 391.86M |
| 7 | 7.23B | 2.3% | 16.5% | 960.78M | 327.07M | 633.71M | 337.17M |
| 8 | 7.43B | 2.7% | 16.5% | 986.81M | 391.84M | 594.97M | 289.27M |
| 9 | 7.66B | 3.1% | 16.5% | 1.02B | 461.21M | 556.23M | 247.13M |
| 10 | 7.93B | 3.5% | 16.5% | 1.05B | 536.11M | 516.94M | 209.87M |
⚠ Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.