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MMM 3M

industrial · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-08-25

HOLD
Intrinsic value$79.57
Price (at call)$179.01
Margin of safety -55.6%
vs market (rating basis) -10.8%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)-1.6%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin19.0%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital1.46
Beta1.08
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)9.0%
Terminal WACC8.7%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF22.19B
PV of terminal value25.64B
Equity value41.04B
÷ shares → per share$79.57

News

bearish -0.20 · 8 articles

  • Soft Retail Markets Hurt 3M's Consumer Unit: Is a Turnaround Expected?
  • GE Aerospace's Robust Capital Position Fuels Higher Shareholder Returns
  • HON's Process Automation Weakness Persists: What's Impeding Its Growth?
  • 3M's Consumer Segment Struggles Amid Soft Demand: What's Next?
  • Apple upgraded, Workday downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls
  • POSCO Enters LFP Cathode Market With Major Long-Term Supply Deal
  • 3 Dow Jones Stocks with Warning Signs
  • 3M Rides on Transportation & Electronics Strength: A Sign of More Upside?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 24.78B -1.6% 19.0% 3.58B 0 3.58B 3.28B
2 24.54B -1.0% 19.0% 3.54B 0 3.54B 2.98B
3 24.43B -0.4% 19.0% 3.53B 0 3.53B 2.72B
4 24.46B 0.1% 19.0% 3.53B 20.13M 3.51B 2.49B
5 24.62B 0.7% 19.0% 3.56B 114.83M 3.44B 2.24B
6 24.93B 1.2% 19.0% 3.60B 210.94M 3.39B 2.02B
7 25.38B 1.8% 19.0% 3.67B 310.08M 3.36B 1.83B
8 25.98B 2.4% 19.0% 3.75B 413.96M 3.34B 1.67B
9 26.75B 2.9% 19.0% 3.86B 524.37M 3.34B 1.54B
10 27.68B 3.5% 19.0% 4.00B 643.31M 3.35B 1.42B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-08-25$179.01 $79.57 -55.6% HOLD
2026-06-23$161.95 $88.00 -45.7% HOLD