MO Altria
Intrinsic value$45.58
Price (at call)$68.48
Margin of safety
-33.4%
vs market (rating basis)
+4.9%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | -0.9% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 37.3% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 0.92 |
| Beta | 0.50 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 6.8% |
| Terminal WACC | 8.4% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 44.13B |
| PV of terminal value | 53.25B |
| Equity value | 76.10B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $45.58 |
News
neutral +0.10 · 8 articles
- The One Stock That Pays a 72-Year-Old $1,400 a Month: MO
- These 3 Dividend Stocks Make a Strong Case for Skipping XLP
- Altria's Smoke-Free Ambition Has Quietly Narrowed To Its Nicotine Pouch Brand
- Campbell's Q4 Earnings on the Horizon: What Should Investors Expect?
- How a Retiree Three Years Into RMDs Turned a $940,000 IRA Into a $6,700 Monthly Paycheck Without Buying an Annuity
- What a $1.55 Million Portfolio Actually Pays After Taxes, Medicare Premiums, and Reality
- Altria (MO) Stock Looks Reasonably Priced On Its 95% Five Year Run
- 3 Rock Solid Dividend That Pay You Every Month
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20.26B | -0.9% | 52.7% | 7.91B | 0 | 7.91B | 7.40B |
| 2 | 20.18B | -0.4% | 48.9% | 7.30B | 0 | 7.30B | 6.40B |
| 3 | 20.20B | 0.1% | 45.0% | 6.73B | 18.33M | 6.71B | 5.51B |
| 4 | 20.31B | 0.6% | 41.2% | 6.18B | 125.41M | 6.06B | 4.66B |
| 5 | 20.53B | 1.1% | 37.3% | 5.66B | 233.81M | 5.43B | 3.92B |
| 6 | 20.84B | 1.5% | 37.3% | 5.75B | 345.11M | 5.41B | 3.65B |
| 7 | 21.27B | 2.0% | 37.3% | 5.87B | 460.96M | 5.41B | 3.42B |
| 8 | 21.81B | 2.5% | 37.3% | 6.02B | 583.10M | 5.43B | 3.22B |
| 9 | 22.46B | 3.0% | 37.3% | 6.20B | 713.42M | 5.49B | 3.04B |
| 10 | 23.25B | 3.5% | 37.3% | 6.42B | 854.00M | 5.56B | 2.89B |