MOS Mosaic Company (The)
Intrinsic value$0.00
Price (at call)$24.48
Margin of safety
-100.0%
vs market (rating basis)
-78.1%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | -8.0% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 0.1% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 0.71 |
| Beta | 0.83 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 8.1% |
| Terminal WACC | 8.6% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | -364.04M |
| PV of terminal value | 42.11M |
| Equity value | 0 |
| ÷ shares → per share | $0.00 |
News
neutral -0.10 · 8 articles
- Mosaic (MOS) Bets On Enzymes While Its Core Business Bleeds
- The Mosaic Co's Dividend Analysis
- Rainbow Rare Earths moves Uberaba project into pre-feasibility
- CF (CF) Up 18.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
- Why Is Mosaic (MOS) Up 10.1% Since Last Earnings Report?
- Fertilizer Giants Ready New Plants to Boost U.S. Supplies
- MOS Launches Enzyme-Based Residue Management Product
- Brazil Potash Reports Full-Project FEED Coverage, Liquidity & Policy Support for Autazes – Quarterly Update Report
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11.27B | -8.0% | 0.1% | 8.85M | 0 | 8.85M | 8.19M |
| 2 | 10.51B | -6.7% | 0.1% | 8.26M | 0 | 8.26M | 7.06M |
| 3 | 9.94B | -5.4% | 0.1% | 7.81M | 0 | 7.81M | 6.18M |
| 4 | 9.52B | -4.2% | 0.1% | 7.48M | 0 | 7.48M | 5.48M |
| 5 | 9.25B | -2.9% | 0.1% | 7.26M | 0 | 7.26M | 4.92M |
| 6 | 9.10B | -1.6% | 0.1% | 7.15M | 0 | 7.15M | 4.48M |
| 7 | 9.07B | -0.3% | 0.1% | 7.12M | 0 | 7.12M | 4.13M |
| 8 | 9.16B | 0.9% | 0.1% | 7.19M | 119.86M | -112.67M | -60.37M |
| 9 | 9.36B | 2.2% | 0.1% | 7.35M | 284.70M | -277.35M | -137.46M |
| 10 | 9.69B | 3.5% | 0.1% | 7.61M | 458.36M | -450.76M | -206.64M |
⚠ intrinsic value floored at 0 — the drivers imply the equity claim is worth less than the debt ahead of it · Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.