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MRSH Marsh McLennan

insurance · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-21

SELL
Intrinsic value$56.41
Price (at call)$175.01
Margin of safety -67.8%
vs market (rating basis) -43.7%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: unbalanced JSON in response: '{\n "story": "Marsh McLennan is an asset-light insurance BROKER and consultant (Marsh, Guy Carpenter, Mercer, Oliver Wyman), not a balance-sheet risk carrier, so its 26% trailing ROE on a slim $15B bo'; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Return on equity (normalized)15.0%
Book-value growth (Y1)8.0%
Terminal book growth3.0%
Beta0.58
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of equity7.6%

Valuation bridge

PV of excess returns6.43B
PV of terminal excess5.39B
Equity value26.92B
÷ shares → per share$56.41

News

neutral -0.10 · 8 articles

  • 3 Insurance Stocks Retail Investors Are Watching As War Risk Costs Rise
  • AJG's McMillan Insurance Acquisition Adds to Brokerage Expansion
  • Employer Health Costs Surge: What it Means for EHTH, CNC & UNH
  • Is Marsh & McLennan Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?
  • Insider Sale: CEO Dumps More Than 16,000 Shares of Financial Stock
  • Can Marsh's AI Strategy Offset Softer Insurance Pricing?
  • Here's Why Investors Should Hold On to Marsh Stock for Now
  • Is Healthcare Services Group (HCSG) Stock Outpacing Its Business Services Peers This Year?

Projected excess returns on equity

YrBook equityROEExcess returnPV
115.10B 15.0%1.12B 1.04B
216.31B 14.4%1.11B 958.61M
317.52B 13.8%1.09B 872.78M
418.73B 13.2%1.05B 783.12M
519.92B 12.6%996.37M 690.99M
621.07B 12.0%927.42M 597.77M
722.17B 11.4%842.72M 504.84M
823.20B 10.8%742.70M 413.52M
924.15B 10.2%628.16M 325.06M
1025.01B 9.6%500.26M 240.60M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-21$175.01 $56.41 -67.8% SELL
2026-08-19$186.37 $58.04 -68.9% STRONG SELL
2026-07-16$176.22 $60.68 -65.6% STRONG SELL
2026-06-23$163.84 $61.07 -62.7% STRONG SELL