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MSI Motorola Solutions

technology · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-08-31

HOLD
Intrinsic value$233.54
Price (at call)$486.00
Margin of safety -51.9%
vs market (rating basis) -3.0%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)8.6%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin26.2%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital1.06
Beta0.87
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)8.3%
Terminal WACC8.8%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF16.77B
PV of terminal value29.89B
Equity value38.65B
÷ shares → per share$233.54

News

neutral +0.10 · 8 articles

  • Is BlackBerry Stock Pricing In A Turnaround That Hasn't Arrived?
  • Motorola Solutions (MSI) Faces Near-Term Margin Pressure, but the Long-Term Thesis Holds
  • Can Motorola's Advanced Security Solutions Make Future Events Safer?
  • 3 Market-Beating Stocks with Solid Fundamentals
  • Motorola Completes D-Fend Buyout: Can It Buoy Growth Prospects?
  • MSI Expands Drone Portfolio With D-Fend Deal: Will it Drive Growth?
  • UMAC Rides on Favorable Industry Tailwinds: Should You Bet on It?
  • Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Motorola Solutions Stock?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 13.29B 8.6% 26.2% 2.68B 999.19M 1.68B 1.55B
2 14.36B 8.1% 26.2% 2.89B 1.01B 1.88B 1.60B
3 15.44B 7.5% 26.2% 3.11B 1.02B 2.09B 1.65B
4 16.51B 6.9% 26.2% 3.32B 1.01B 2.31B 1.68B
5 17.56B 6.4% 26.2% 3.54B 991.87M 2.54B 1.71B
6 18.57B 5.8% 26.2% 3.74B 960.15M 2.78B 1.73B
7 19.54B 5.2% 26.2% 3.94B 915.45M 3.02B 1.73B
8 20.45B 4.6% 26.2% 4.12B 857.72M 3.26B 1.73B
9 21.28B 4.1% 26.2% 4.29B 787.20M 3.50B 1.71B
10 22.03B 3.5% 26.2% 4.44B 704.42M 3.73B 1.69B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-08-31$486.00 $233.54 -51.9% HOLD
2026-07-20$413.31 $222.69 -46.1% HOLD
2026-06-23$389.44 $226.53 -41.8% HOLD