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NEM Newmont

materials · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-22

STRONG BUY
Intrinsic value$151.31
Price (at call)$123.05
Margin of safety +23.0%
vs market (rating basis) +106.6%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)23.9%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin32.2%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.66
Beta0.54
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)7.3%
Terminal WACC9.3%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF25.88B
PV of terminal value131.24B
Equity value159.43B
÷ shares → per share$151.31

News

bullish +0.60 · 8 articles

  • Can Strong Production at Otjikoto Mine Boost B2Gold's Growth?
  • Prediction: Iamgold Will Start Paying a Dividend Before the End of 2027. Here's Why That Would Change Everything.
  • Newmont price target raised by UBS on capital returns outlook
  • When To Dump Stocks: These IBD 50 Components Hit Sell Signals
  • Company News for Sep 18, 2026
  • Why Newmont Stock Just Popped
  • Newmont Shares Rise 1.5% as Gold Prices Recover and Analysts Raise Price Targets
  • Gold miners rally as bullion rebounds on softer dollar, easing oil prices

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 31.93B 23.9% 48.3% 10.03B 9.32B 709.32M 661.15M
2 38.84B 21.6% 44.3% 11.18B 10.45B 727.81M 632.33M
3 46.36B 19.4% 40.3% 12.13B 11.38B 747.74M 605.53M
4 54.30B 17.1% 36.2% 12.78B 12.00B 783.55M 591.44M
5 62.35B 14.8% 32.2% 13.04B 12.19B 854.49M 601.20M
6 70.19B 12.6% 32.2% 14.68B 11.86B 2.82B 1.85B
7 77.43B 10.3% 32.2% 16.20B 10.94B 5.26B 3.21B
8 83.65B 8.0% 32.2% 17.50B 9.41B 8.09B 4.61B
9 88.47B 5.8% 32.2% 18.51B 7.30B 11.21B 5.95B
10 91.57B 3.5% 32.2% 19.16B 4.68B 14.47B 7.16B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-22$123.05 $151.31 +23.0% STRONG BUY
2026-08-20$125.08 $164.46 +31.5% STRONG BUY
2026-07-16$95.21 $68.27 -28.3% BUY
2026-06-23$97.84 $68.60 -29.9% BUY