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NI NiSource

utility · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-03

HOLD
Intrinsic value$30.82
Price (at call)$41.15
Margin of safety -25.1%
vs market (rating basis) +6.0%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: unbalanced JSON in response: '{\n "story": "NiSource is a well-run regulated gas and electric utility (Columbia Gas distribution plus NIPSCO in Indiana) earning roughly its allowed returns on a fast-growing rate base, with data-ce'; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Return on equity (normalized)9.6%
Book-value growth (Y1)4.3%
Terminal book growth3.0%
Beta0.55
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of equity7.3%

Valuation bridge

PV of excess returns1.76B
PV of terminal excess3.57B
Equity value14.78B
÷ shares → per share$30.82

News

bearish -0.30 · 8 articles

  • These 3 AI stocks are bought by both hedge funds and mutual funds
  • NiSource (NI): A Costly Quarter Masks A Bigger Bet
  • NiSource (NI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
  • The Bull Case For NiSource (NI) Could Change Following Q2 Profit Drop Despite Higher Revenue
  • NiSource (NI) Reports Mixed Q2 Results, Is It Still 15% Below Fair Value?
  • NiSource Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
  • NiSource Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
  • NiSource Inc (NI) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Reaffirms Guidance Amid Data Center ...

Projected excess returns on equity

YrBook equityROEExcess returnPV
19.45B 9.6%216.28M 201.59M
29.86B 9.6%225.63M 196.01M
310.27B 9.6%235.04M 190.32M
410.68B 9.6%244.51M 184.53M
511.10B 9.6%254.00M 178.67M
611.51B 9.6%263.48M 172.75M
711.93B 9.6%272.93M 166.79M
812.34B 9.6%282.32M 160.81M
912.74B 9.6%291.62M 154.82M
1013.14B 9.6%300.80M 148.84M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-03$41.15 $30.82 -25.1% HOLD
2026-07-23$46.57 $37.58 -19.3% HOLD
2026-06-23$47.26 $38.61 -18.3% HOLD