NRG NRG Energy
Intrinsic value$7.06
Price (at call)$111.84
Margin of safety
-93.7%
vs market (rating basis)
-71.3%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Return on equity (normalized) | 15.0% |
| Book-value growth (Y1) | 0.0% |
| Terminal book growth | 3.0% |
| Beta | 1.20 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of equity | 10.2% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of excess returns | 262.63M |
| PV of terminal excess | 189.73M |
| Equity value | 1.48B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $7.06 |
News
bearish -0.30 · 8 articles
- Why Is NRG (NRG) Down 8% Since Last Earnings Report?
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- Vistra Stock Is Down, But Is This Power Producer's Dip An Opportunity?
- Vistra Won’t Stop Declining in 2026: Why Does This Prominent Wall Street Firm Expect 120% Returns?
- Does NRG’s Challenge to PJM’s Reliability Plan Signal a Deeper Shift in NRG’s Strategy (NRG)?
- NRG Energy (NRG), What Is Behind The Latest Attention?
- Does NRG Energy (NRG) Look Fairly Valued After Earnings?
Projected excess returns on equity
| Yr | Book equity | ROE | Excess return | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03B | 15.0% | 49.74M | 45.15M |
| 2 | 1.03B | 14.8% | 47.65M | 39.26M |
| 3 | 1.03B | 14.6% | 45.71M | 34.18M |
| 4 | 1.04B | 14.4% | 43.91M | 29.80M |
| 5 | 1.05B | 14.2% | 42.21M | 26.00M |
| 6 | 1.07B | 14.0% | 40.62M | 22.71M |
| 7 | 1.08B | 13.8% | 39.10M | 19.84M |
| 8 | 1.11B | 13.6% | 37.64M | 17.34M |
| 9 | 1.13B | 13.4% | 36.22M | 15.14M |
| 10 | 1.16B | 13.2% | 34.83M | 13.22M |
⚠ Extreme gap to market price — large, well-covered names are rarely mispriced this much; likely embeds risk the model underweights. A flag, not a verdict.