NVR NVR, Inc.
Intrinsic value$4,748.51
Price (at call)$6,298.85
Margin of safety
-24.6%
vs market (rating basis)
+27.3%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
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The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | -0.6% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 11.4% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 2.00 |
| Beta | 0.91 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 8.7% |
| Terminal WACC | 9.1% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 5.70B |
| PV of terminal value | 5.94B |
| Equity value | 12.65B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $4,748.51 |
News
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- Toll Brothers to Report Q3 Earnings: Here's What to Expect This Season
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9.49B | -0.6% | 15.0% | 1.08B | 0 | 1.08B | 992.46M |
| 2 | 9.47B | -0.2% | 14.1% | 1.01B | 0 | 1.01B | 857.79M |
| 3 | 9.50B | 0.3% | 13.2% | 952.32M | 13.80M | 938.52M | 731.11M |
| 4 | 9.57B | 0.7% | 12.3% | 895.17M | 35.62M | 859.55M | 616.11M |
| 5 | 9.69B | 1.2% | 11.4% | 840.92M | 57.82M | 783.10M | 516.47M |
| 6 | 9.85B | 1.7% | 11.4% | 854.93M | 80.72M | 774.21M | 469.82M |
| 7 | 10.06B | 2.1% | 11.4% | 873.10M | 104.64M | 768.46M | 429.08M |
| 8 | 10.32B | 2.6% | 11.4% | 895.65M | 129.91M | 765.74M | 393.41M |
| 9 | 10.63B | 3.0% | 11.4% | 922.89M | 156.91M | 765.98M | 362.10M |
| 10 | 11.00B | 3.5% | 11.4% | 955.20M | 186.05M | 769.15M | 334.56M |