ODFL Old Dominion
Intrinsic value$46.38
Price (at call)$200.06
Margin of safety
-76.8%
vs market (rating basis)
-43.7%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | -4.2% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 20.5% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 1.29 |
| Beta | 1.18 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 10.0% |
| Terminal WACC | 9.2% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 5.04B |
| PV of terminal value | 4.50B |
| Equity value | 9.62B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $46.38 |
News
score · 8 articles
- Old Dominion EPS Estimates Northbound: How to Play the Stock?
- 3 Reasons to Sell ODFL and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
- Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Looks Fully Valued On Its 53% Five Year Run
- Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) On Goldman Sachs Target Lift And A Valuation Question
- Old Dominion Freight Line Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
- The Fund’s Strategic Sale of Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Locked in Gains
- 1 High-Flying Stock for Long-Term Investors and 2 That Underwhelm
- Are Transportation Stocks Lagging Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) This Year?
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5.36B | -4.2% | 24.8% | 1.00B | 0 | 1.00B | 910.34M |
| 2 | 5.18B | -3.4% | 23.7% | 924.67M | 0 | 924.67M | 764.70M |
| 3 | 5.05B | -2.5% | 22.6% | 859.91M | 0 | 859.91M | 646.71M |
| 4 | 4.97B | -1.7% | 21.5% | 804.87M | 0 | 804.87M | 550.47M |
| 5 | 4.93B | -0.8% | 20.5% | 758.00M | 0 | 758.00M | 471.45M |
| 6 | 4.93B | 0.1% | 20.5% | 758.45M | 2.23M | 756.22M | 427.72M |
| 7 | 4.98B | 0.9% | 20.5% | 765.41M | 35.18M | 730.23M | 375.60M |
| 8 | 5.07B | 1.8% | 20.5% | 779.03M | 68.76M | 710.27M | 332.23M |
| 9 | 5.20B | 2.6% | 20.5% | 799.59M | 103.84M | 695.76M | 295.95M |
| 10 | 5.38B | 3.5% | 20.5% | 827.58M | 141.32M | 686.26M | 265.47M |