▟ Vinebot intrinsic value, daily

← back

PCAR Paccar

industrial · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-02

SELL
Intrinsic value$30.55
Price (at call)$122.45
Margin of safety -75.1%
vs market (rating basis) -42.5%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)-0.4%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin10.0%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.80
Beta0.98
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)8.6%
Terminal WACC8.6%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF11.77B
PV of terminal value13.50B
Equity value16.08B
÷ shares → per share$30.55

News

score · 8 articles

  • Are Auto-Tires-Trucks Stocks Lagging PACCAR (PCAR) This Year?
  • PACCAR (PCAR) Stock Could Be Below Fair Value Despite Strong Returns
  • PACCAR (PCAR) Could Be 11% Undervalued After Its Q2 2026 Earnings Beat
  • Is Caterpillar Stock Relying on an Artificial Demand Story?
  • 3 Large-Cap Stocks with Questionable Fundamentals
  • Paccar (PCAR) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note
  • Paccar (PCAR) Down 3.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
  • Deere’s Ag Cycle Is Turning, But Can Profitability Follow?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 27.69B -0.4% 10.0% 2.18B 0 2.18B 2.01B
2 27.70B 0.0% 10.0% 2.18B 614.86K 2.18B 1.85B
3 27.82B 0.4% 10.0% 2.19B 152.56M 2.04B 1.60B
4 28.06B 0.9% 10.0% 2.21B 305.85M 1.91B 1.37B
5 28.43B 1.3% 10.0% 2.24B 462.49M 1.78B 1.18B
6 28.93B 1.8% 10.0% 2.28B 624.54M 1.66B 1.01B
7 29.56B 2.2% 10.0% 2.33B 794.18M 1.54B 865.27M
8 30.34B 2.6% 10.0% 2.39B 973.74M 1.42B 735.70M
9 31.27B 3.1% 10.0% 2.47B 1.17B 1.30B 621.01M
10 32.36B 3.5% 10.0% 2.55B 1.37B 1.18B 518.85M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-02$122.45 $30.55 -75.1% SELL
2026-06-23$116.78 $46.08 -60.5% SELL