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PWR Quanta Services

industrial · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-07

SELL
Intrinsic value$107.69
Price (at call)$624.41
Margin of safety -82.8%
vs market (rating basis) -37.1%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)18.6%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin6.2%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital2.20
Beta1.20
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)9.9%
Terminal WACC9.0%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF951.77M
PV of terminal value20.88B
Equity value16.19B
÷ shares → per share$107.69

News

neutral -0.10 · 8 articles

  • Quanta Services (PWR) Stock Trades At A Premium To Fair Value
  • Is Rising Analyst Optimism Around PWR’s Dividend Sharpening Quanta’s Grid Expansion Investment Case?
  • Vertiv’s UIG Deal Targets the Next Big Constraint in AI Data Centers
  • EMCOR Rises 21% Year to Date: Should Investors Buy the Stock Now?
  • Wall Street Analysts See Quanta Services (PWR) as a Buy: Should You Invest?
  • Top Analyst Reports for Amazon, AbbVie & Alibaba
  • Argan Stock Rises on Q2 Earnings & Revenue Beat, Gross Margin Up Y/Y
  • Can Argan's 53% Power Revenue Growth Continue With a $2.5B Backlog?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 39.02B 18.6% 6.2% 1.82B 2.78B -953.90M -868.12M
2 45.63B 16.9% 6.2% 2.13B 3.00B -864.82M -716.27M
3 52.58B 15.2% 6.2% 2.46B 3.16B -699.58M -527.31M
4 59.71B 13.6% 6.2% 2.79B 3.24B -447.17M -306.75M
5 66.81B 11.9% 6.2% 3.12B 3.22B -100.10M -62.49M
6 73.63B 10.2% 6.2% 3.44B 3.10B 344.19M 195.55M
7 79.91B 8.5% 6.2% 3.73B 2.85B 882.10M 456.09M
8 85.39B 6.9% 6.2% 3.99B 2.49B 1.50B 707.26M
9 89.81B 5.2% 6.2% 4.20B 2.01B 2.19B 937.47M
10 92.95B 3.5% 6.2% 4.34B 1.43B 2.92B 1.14B

⚠ Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-07$624.41 $107.69 -82.8% SELL
2026-06-23$702.29 $156.62 -77.7% SELL