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RSG Republic Services

industrial · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-10

HOLD
Intrinsic value$86.82
Price (at call)$222.47
Margin of safety -61.0%
vs market (rating basis) -17.1%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)7.1%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin18.7%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.66
Beta0.50
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)7.0%
Terminal WACC8.9%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF12.33B
PV of terminal value27.76B
Equity value26.58B
÷ shares → per share$86.82

News

bullish +0.20 · 8 articles

  • Is Republic Services Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq?
  • 2 Cash-Producing Stocks to Research Further and 1 We Turn Down
  • RSG Stock Rises 10% in 3 Months: Here's What You Should Know
  • How Florida’s First All‑Electric Waste Fleet Rollout Could Shape Republic Services’ (RSG) Sustainability Narrative
  • 3 Cash-Producing Stocks We Steer Clear Of
  • Insider Confidence Is Building in These 3 Very Different Stocks
  • Gates-Backed Cascade Sees Opportunity in Republic Services That Half of Wall Street Misses
  • Everpure Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings: What Should You Know?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 18.09B 7.1% 18.7% 2.79B 1.81B 975.79M 911.72M
2 19.30B 6.7% 18.7% 2.97B 1.83B 1.14B 997.66M
3 20.51B 6.3% 18.7% 3.16B 1.84B 1.32B 1.08B
4 21.72B 5.9% 18.7% 3.35B 1.83B 1.52B 1.16B
5 22.91B 5.5% 18.7% 3.53B 1.80B 1.72B 1.23B
6 24.08B 5.1% 18.7% 3.71B 1.77B 1.94B 1.29B
7 25.21B 4.7% 18.7% 3.88B 1.71B 2.17B 1.35B
8 26.29B 4.3% 18.7% 4.05B 1.64B 2.41B 1.40B
9 27.32B 3.9% 18.7% 4.21B 1.55B 2.66B 1.44B
10 28.27B 3.5% 18.7% 4.35B 1.45B 2.91B 1.47B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-10$222.47 $86.82 -61.0% HOLD
2026-06-23$209.10 $94.46 -54.8% HOLD