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SO Southern Company

utility · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-11

HOLD
Intrinsic value$54.72
Price (at call)$87.75
Margin of safety -37.6%
vs market (rating basis) -15.7%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: unbalanced JSON in response: '{\n "story": "Southern is a pure-play regulated utility with the sector\'s most coveted attribute: Georgia\'s data-center-driven load growth feeding an exceptional rate-base capex cycle post-Vogtle. Tra'; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Return on equity (normalized)12.9%
Book-value growth (Y1)0.3%
Terminal book growth3.0%
Beta0.50
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of equity7.2%

Valuation bridge

PV of excess returns11.78B
PV of terminal excess15.15B
Equity value62.95B
÷ shares → per share$54.72

News

neutral -0.10 · 8 articles

  • PowerSecure Builds Standby Power for Keel's Data Center Campus
  • Sector Update: Energy Stocks Mixed Thursday Afternoon
  • OpenAI meets with utility leaders on grid risks from rogue AI - report
  • Southern Company's Unit PowerSecure Wins Data Center Power Project
  • Should You Buy Vistra Stock For Its Shrinking Share Count?
  • KEEL Stock On Track To Break 4-Day Rally: PowerSecure AI Data Center Deal Fails To Prevent Pull Back
  • Here's Why a Hold Strategy Is Apt for Southern Company Stock Now
  • XLU’s AI Power Story Crumbles as Texas Freezes Data-Center Demand

Projected excess returns on equity

YrBook equityROEExcess returnPV
136.02B 12.9%2.07B 1.93B
236.13B 12.6%1.96B 1.71B
336.35B 12.3%1.86B 1.51B
436.68B 12.0%1.77B 1.34B
537.12B 11.7%1.68B 1.19B
637.68B 11.4%1.59B 1.05B
738.36B 11.1%1.50B 922.79M
839.17B 10.8%1.41B 810.66M
940.11B 10.5%1.33B 709.16M
1041.19B 10.2%1.24B 616.92M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-11$87.75 $54.72 -37.6% HOLD
2026-07-31$94.34 $61.23 -35.1% HOLD
2026-06-23$94.93 $62.29 -34.4% SELL