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SPG Simon Property Group

reit · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-21

STRONG BUY
Intrinsic value$238.96
Price (at call)$205.32
Margin of safety +16.4%
vs market (rating basis) +122.9%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

AFFO growth (Y1)6.3%
Terminal AFFO growth3.0%
AFFO / FFO ratio80.0%
Beta1.31
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of equity10.9%

Valuation bridge

PV of AFFO (explicit)39.42B
PV of terminal value37.90B
Equity value77.32B
÷ shares → per share$238.96

News

bullish +0.30 · 8 articles

  • Simon Property (SPG) Group Raised Its Outlook Again
  • Sandisk Joins the S&P 100 on Monday -- the Same Day Nike Leaves It
  • Simon Property Group Sees Leasing Surge as Traffic, Rents and Retail Demand Rise
  • Simon Property Group (SPG) Plans To Hand Back Square One Mall
  • Simon Approaching End Of The Road With Struggling Suburban Boston Mall
  • Insider Sells 1,434 Shares of Legendary REIT
  • One Retail REIT Cut Its Dividend in 2020 but Crushed Its Peer Since. Which Is Roth Ready?
  • Shopping for Value? Malls Now Rank as Hottest Commercial Real Estate

Projected AFFO

YrFFOAFFOGrowthPV
16.89B 5.51B6.3% 4.97B
27.31B 5.84B6.0% 4.75B
37.71B 6.17B5.6% 4.52B
48.12B 6.49B5.2% 4.29B
58.51B 6.81B4.9% 4.06B
68.90B 7.12B4.5% 3.82B
79.26B 7.41B4.1% 3.59B
89.61B 7.69B3.7% 3.36B
99.93B 7.95B3.4% 3.13B
1010.23B 8.18B3.0% 2.91B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-21$205.32 $238.96 +16.4% STRONG BUY
2026-07-30$235.61 $292.66 +24.2% STRONG BUY
2026-06-23$216.74 $299.42 +38.1% STRONG BUY