▟ Vinebot intrinsic value, daily

← back

SRE Sempra

utility · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-14

HOLD
Intrinsic value$45.55
Price (at call)$83.34
Margin of safety -45.3%
vs market (rating basis) -17.4%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: unbalanced JSON in response: '{\n "story": "Sempra blends two California utilities and 80% of Oncor earning allowed ROEs near 9.5-10% with a Texas rate-base compounding machine, plus a still-under-construction LNG platform at Semp'; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Return on equity (normalized)7.2%
Book-value growth (Y1)0.0%
Terminal book growth3.0%
Beta0.56
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of equity7.5%

Valuation bridge

PV of excess returns-656.82M
PV of terminal excess-1.15B
Equity value29.78B
÷ shares → per share$45.55

News

score · 8 articles

  • Is Sempra Stock Underperforming the Dow?
  • Street Calls of the Week
  • CRC completes pipelines acquisition, says it may use 2,000-mile network for CO2 transport
  • California Wildfire Legislation Postponed, Utility Stocks Bounce
  • PG&E Shares Trim Losses Ahead of High-Stakes Wildfire Bill Vote
  • Here Are Tuesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Akamai Technologies, Arista Networks, Booking Holdings, Cisco Systems, Dell Technologies, Duolingo, Robinhood Markets, PG&E, and More
  • Sempra (SRE) Could Be 21% Undervalued As California Wildfire Liability Rules Shift
  • Sempra (SRE) Stock Looks Fairly Priced Despite Strong Returns And Richer Earnings

Projected excess returns on equity

YrBook equityROEExcess returnPV
131.59B 7.2%-92.66M -86.18M
231.59B 7.2%-92.66M -80.16M
331.70B 7.2%-92.97M -74.81M
431.91B 7.2%-93.59M -70.04M
532.23B 7.2%-94.52M -65.80M
632.66B 7.2%-95.78M -62.02M
733.20B 7.2%-97.38M -58.65M
833.87B 7.2%-99.33M -55.64M
934.66B 7.2%-101.64M -52.96M
1035.58B 7.2%-104.35M -50.57M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-14$83.34 $45.55 -45.3% HOLD
2026-08-03$88.55 $65.07 -26.5% HOLD
2026-06-23$92.29 $68.14 -26.2% HOLD